Match Info

Allsvenskan - Round 11

Date: 5 July 2026, Sunday

Location: Guldfågeln Arena (Kalmar)

Referee: Al-Hakim M. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	MTV Urheilu 2
Norway	VG+
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 2
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Kalmar		Örgryte

	1	X	2
	1.35	4.75	7.50	Watch
	1.40	4.80	6.75
	1.41	4.40	6.50
	1.41	5.34	7.30
	1.48	4.96	6.2
	1.37	5.25	7.15
	1.40	4.82	7.61	Watch
	1.37	4.90	6.80
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.48)	4.9 ↑ (4.36)	6.98 ↑ (5.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kalmar
67.3%

Draw
19.2%

Örgryte
13.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.6%

21.3%

16.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.2%

20.8%

15.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kalmar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Örgryte has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kalmar than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Örgryte than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	0%	12.5%

Kalmar - Örgryte Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Kalmar (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (1.26) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DC - draw (1.19) (votes: 0 - 0%) .

Users Predictions: Kalmar will win (14 of 15 users predict this - 93.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 80.7% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Brolin S. (G) 4. Jansson R. 5. Hallberg M. (C) 12. Ravik Z. 2. Larsson V. 23. R. Gojani 17. Gustafsson C. 21. Magashy A. 13. Rosenqvist C. 11. Olusanya A. 24. Sagoe Jr C.	44. Gustafsson H. (G) 14. Paulson D. (C) 33. Lagerlund S. 3. Azulay J. 5. Styffe C. 2. Parker M. 17. Hofvander W. 7. Vindehall C. 23. Parker-Price O. 11. Christoffersson N. 22. Sana T.
Substitutes
7. Chourak N. 70. Emeka Nnamani 47. Keita A. 30. Kindberg J. (G) 3. Overby S. 39. Saetra L. 10. Soderback M. 6. Tyren V.	19. Andreasson A. 16. Dahlqvist H. 29. Ebietomere M. 25. Hodzic D. 21. Kenndal W. 8. Laturnus B. 34. Rahm A. (G) 24. Svensson W. 15. Tibbling J.
Coaches
Koskela T.	Holmberg A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Gustafsson C. ⚽, Sagoe Jr C. (A),
11', Lagerlund S. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
47', 2 - 0, Magashy A. ⚽, Sagoe Jr C. (A),
55', Vindehall C. ↓, Laturnus B. ↑,
66', Hofvander W. ↓, Svensson W. ↑,
66', Azulay J. ↓, Andreasson A. ↑,
66', Paulson D. ↓, Tibbling J. ↑,
70', Magashy A. ↓, Keita A. ↑,
70', Rosenqvist C. ↓, Soderback M. ↑,
80', Sagoe Jr C. ↓, Emeka Nnamani ↑,
84', 3 - 0, Jansson R. ⚽, Soderback M. (A),
85', Lagerlund S. ↓, Ebietomere M. ↑,
87', Hallberg M. ↓, Saetra L. ↑,
87', Olusanya A. ↓, Bjorklund K. ↑,
89', Styffe C. ↓, Dahlqvist H. ↑,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 12 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Superettan).

Recent performances by Kalmar have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Örgryte has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Kalmar is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Kalmar: Keita A. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Stolt M. (Injury)

There will not play in Örgryte: Abukar A. (Inactive) Alm R. (Knee Injury)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kalmar won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 1.8:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Kalmar won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:5. (average 2.3:1.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Kalmar	22	5	4	13	21:36	-15	19
15	Orgryte	22	3	6	13	25:49	-24	15

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kalmar FF
Club Friendly
22.06.26	AIK - Kalmar	0:2 ✺
Swedish Allsvenskan
30.05.26	GAIS - Kalmar	3:0 ✺
23.05.26	Kalmar - Degerfors	2:1 ✺
17.05.26	Brommapojkarna - Kalmar	1:0 ✺
10.05.26	Kalmar - Halmstad	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 WLWLW
- Örgryte IS
Club Friendly
25.06.26	Tromsø - Örgryte	4:1 ✺
Swedish Allsvenskan
29.05.26	Örgryte - Elfsborg	2:2 ✺
23.05.26	Halmstad - Örgryte	2:0 ✺
19.05.26	Örgryte - IFK Göteborg	2:3 ✺
11.05.26	Sirius - Örgryte	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Svenska Cupen
07.03.26	Kalmar - Örgryte	2:2
Swedish Superettan
01.11.25	Örgryte - Kalmar	0:2
22.06.25	Kalmar - Örgryte	2:3
Svenska Cupen
23.02.20	Kalmar - Örgryte	3:0
Club Friendly
11.03.17	Örgryte - Kalmar	3:0

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