Match Info

Allsvenskan - Round 14

Date: 5 July 2025, Saturday

Location: Visma Arena (Växjö)

Referee: Sundell R. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Max, Veikkaus TV
Sweden	Discovery+, max Extra 3, Max, TV4 Play


	Öster		Mjällby

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.9	1.67	Watch
	4.4	3.8	1.71
	4.65	3.95	1.7	Watch
	4.93	4.12	1.71
				Watch
	4.6	3.75	1.7
	4.7	4.1	1.68	Watch
	4.95	3.85	1.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.71 ↓ (4.87)	3.92 ↓ (4.05)	1.69 ↑ (1.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Öster
20.1%

Draw
24.1%

Mjällby
55.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.5%

23.5%

57%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19%

22.9%

58.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Öster has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Mjällby has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Öster than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mjällby than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10%	10%	80%

Öster - Mjällby Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.75 - Mjällby (1.75) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Mjällby will win (16 of 18 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 74.37% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Mjällby will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Mjällby (votes: 9 - 90%). Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Wallinder R. (G) 33. Varmanen T. 5. Adolfsson M. 3. Gyamfi K. 21. Bergquist L. 8. Ask D. 18. Ljung D. 7. Seger D. (C) 14. Olsson D. 20. Aliev A. 19. Tamminen M.	1. Tornqvist N. (G) 4. Noren A. 5. Iqbal A. 24. Pettersson T. 11. Stavitski T. 10. Rojkjaer N. 22. Gustavsson J. (C) 14. Johansson H. 7. Gustafson V. 18. Bergstrom J. 19. Manneh A.
Substitutes
16. Adjei R. 26. Christensen M. 22. Gabrielsson O. 31. Lind V. 32. Lundahl C. (G) 23. Rodic V. 6. Soderberg N. 9. Soderberg N. 4. Starke S.	39. Arrhenius R. 16. Johansson A. 9. Kabuye C. 13. Kiilerich J. 35. Lundin A. (G) 25. Miftari A. 26. Nwankwo S. 21. Petersson A. 27. Tidstrand L.
Coaches
Foyston M.	Torstensson A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
15', Stavitski T. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
57', Iqbal A. 🟨,
66', 0 - 1, Bergstrom J. ⚽, Rojkjaer N. (A),
68', Bergquist L. 🟨,
71', Bergstrom J. ↓, Johansson A. ↑,
71', Stavitski T. ↓, Tidstrand L. ↑,
73', Ask D. ↓, Christensen M. ↑,
73', Tamminen M. ↓, Rodic V. ↑,
75', Gustafson V. ↓, Charles U. ↑,
78', Adolfsson M. 🟨,
80', Ljung D. ↓, Soderberg N. ↑,
85', Aliev A. ↓, Gabrielsson O. ↑,
85', Seger D. ↓, Soderberg N. ↑,
87', Johansson H. ↓, Kiilerich J. ↑,
87', Manneh A. ↓, Arrhenius R. ↑,
90+5', Soderberg N. 🟨,
90+5', Arrhenius R. 🟨,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Superettan and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Öster won 0.

Recent performances by Öster have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Mjällby is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Mjällby is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Öster: Kricak I. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Mjällby: Stroud E. (Yellow Cards) Thorell L. (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Öster: Soderberg N. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Mjällby: Isaksson M. (Inactive) Kabuye C. (Inactive) Miettinen T. (Inactive)

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Öster won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:10. (average 0.5:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Öster won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Östers IF
Swedish Allsvenskan
28.06.25	Öster - Sirius	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
19.06.25	IFK Göteborg - Öster	3:3 ✺
Swedish Allsvenskan
31.05.25	Degerfors - Öster	1:2 ✺
24.05.25	Värnamo - Öster	1:1 ✺
18.05.25	Öster - GAIS	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.5 TTWTT
- Mjällby AIF
Swedish Allsvenskan
30.06.25	Mjällby - Malmö	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
19.06.25	Elfsborg - Mjällby	0:1 ✺
Swedish Allsvenskan
01.06.25	Mjällby - Värnamo	2:0 ✺
26.05.25	Norrköping - Mjällby	1:1 ✺
22.05.25	Hammarby - Mjällby	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 TWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Superettan
05.10.19	Mjällby - Öster	3:2
19.05.19	Öster - Mjällby	0:1
Club Friendly
09.02.18	Öster - Mjällby	0:2
Swedish Division 1 Södra
25.09.16	Mjällby - Öster	0:0
23.06.16	Öster - Mjällby	0:0
Svenska Cupen
01.03.15	Mjällby - Öster	2:0
Swedish Allsvenskan
27.07.13	Öster - Mjällby	1:1

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