Match Info

Allsvenskan - Round 1

Date: 4 April 2026, Saturday

Location: 3Arena (Stockholm)

Referee: Karlsson K. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	Azteca Deportes
Sweden	TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play, TV4


	Hammarby		Mjällby

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.5	3.8
	1.92	3.45	3.85
	1.97	3.6	3.91
	2.03	3.58	3.57	Watch
	1.95	3.3	3.6
	1.94	3.48	3.77	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↓ (2.08)	3.49 ↑ (3.43)	3.75 ↑ (3.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hammarby
48%

Draw
26.9%

Mjällby
25%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.4%

27.5%

27.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.9%

26.6%

26.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hammarby has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Mjällby has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hammarby than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mjällby than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
64.3%	28.6%	7.1%

Hammarby - Mjällby Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Hammarby will win (votes: 9 - 64.3%). Mjällby will win (votes: 1 - 7.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 28.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hammarby: 39.2% – 89.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Hammarby (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Hahn W. (G) 2. Skoglund H. 6. Fofana I. 4. Eriksson V. 3. Winther F. 8. Karlsson M. 20. Besara N. (C) 26. Madjed M. 11. Johansson O. 9. Lind V. 7. Abraham P.	13. Wallinder R. (G) 5. Iqbal A. 4. Noren A. 24. Pettersson T. 11. Stavitski T. 7. Gustafson V. 22. Gustavsson J. (C) 17. Stroud E. 6. Thorell L. 18. Bergstrom J. 19. Manneh A.
Substitutes
33. Hedlof B. 27. Jakobsson F. (G) 28. Junior Adjei F. 29. Kabore M. 21. Kone S. 22. Lindberg W. 16. Persson N. 31. Steinke Branby O. 19. Vasic N.	39. Arrhenius R. 15. Bang-Kittilsen B. 14. Granath V. 8. Helge T. 35. Lundin A. (G) 33. Miettinen T. 25. Nielsen M. 23. Samuelsen A. 27. Tidstrand L.
Coaches
Karlsson K.	Aksum K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
27', Johansson O. 🟨,
41', Besara N. 🟨,
42', 1 - 0, Abraham P. ⚽,
44', 2 - 0, Abraham P. ⚽, Besara N. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Stavitski T. ↓, Granath V. ↑,
46', Thorell L. ↓, Samuelsen A. ↑,
48', 3 - 0, Abraham P. ⚽, Besara N. (A),
63', Noren A. 🟨,
66', Lind V. ↓, Persson N. ↑,
71', Gustafson V. 🟨,
71', Gustafson V. ↓, Arrhenius R. ↑,
77', Pettersson T. ↓, Miettinen T. ↑,
79', Samuelsen A. 🟨,
79', Madjed M. ↓, Steinke Branby O. ↑,
79', Johansson O. ↓, Junior Adjei F. ↑,
79', Bergstrom J. ↓, Bang-Kittilsen B. ↑,
89', Miettinen T. 🟨,
90', Besara N. ↓, Kone S. ↑,
90', Abraham P. ↓, Kabore M. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hammarby won 1.

Both teams have recently enjoyed a winning streak.

Hammarby may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Hammarby has had a series of home games.

Hammarby is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Hammarby: Collander D. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Mjällby: Isaksson M. (Inactive)

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Hammarby won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 21:16. (average 1.5:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Hammarby won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:5. (average 1.9:0.7).

Outrights of Swedish Allsvenskan for now

Hammarby: 19.55%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Hammarby	22	13	4	5	49:20	29	43
12	Mjallby	22	5	7	10	27:38	-11	22

Last Results with these Odds

Hammarby - the odds 2.08 are the expected chance of winning is 45.4%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hammarby IF Football
Club Friendly
29.03.26	Hammarby - Kongsvinger	3:3 ✺
Svenska Cupen
22.03.26	Hammarby - Sirius	4:3 penalties ✺
15.03.26	Hammarby - Djurgården	1:0 ✺
07.03.26	Hammarby - Öster	7:0 ✺
02.03.26	Örebro - Hammarby	3:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 TWWWW
- Mjällby AIF
Club Friendly
27.03.26	Häcken - Mjällby	2:2 ✺
Svenska Cupen
22.03.26	Mjällby - GAIS	3:0 ✺
14.03.26	Mjällby - Malmö	4:0 ✺
07.03.26	Mjällby - Värnamo	2:1 ✺
27.02.26	Örgryte - Mjällby	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Allsvenskan
22.05.25	Hammarby - Mjällby	1:2
18.04.25	Mjällby - Hammarby	3:1
28.07.24	Hammarby - Mjällby	3:0
15.05.24	Mjällby - Hammarby	3:0
Svenska Cupen
04.03.24	Hammarby - Mjällby	1:1
Swedish Allsvenskan
27.08.23	Mjällby - Hammarby	0:3
09.05.23	Hammarby - Mjällby	0:0

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