Match Info

NORWAY: Division 2 - Group 1 - Round 7

Date: 16 May 2024, Thursday

Location: Lystlunden Stadion (Horten)


	Ørn-Horten		Eik-Tønsberg

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.6	2.45
	2.58	3.7	2.4
	2.58	3.67	2.4
	2.4	3.6	2.3
	2.46	3.68	2.49
	2.5	3.55	2.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.5 ↓ (2.81)	3.63 ↓ (3.82)	2.4 ↑ (2.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ørn-Horten
36.6%

Draw
25.2%

Eik-Tønsberg
38.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.9%

24.2%

42.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.6%

23.3%

44.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ørn-Horten has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Eik-Tønsberg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ørn-Horten than the current prediction. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eik-Tønsberg than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Eik-Tønsberg could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Ørn Horten - Eik Tønsberg Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Eik-Tønsberg will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Solberg K. (G) 4. Forsund A. (C) 17. Hargott C. 11. Helling G. 10. Kadriu A. 8. Knutsen T. 18. Nilsen N. 2. Nilsen S. 5. Pop S. 9. Rogulj A. 24. Schie P.	1. Jorgensen M. (G) 16. Andersen B. 10. Braendsrod M. 6. Danielsen H. 15. Midtgarden E. 9. Myrbakk J. 11. Nygaard A. (C) 8. Nygaard T. 3. Roberg V. S. 2. Rygel M. 4. Woods S.
Substitutes
25. Bamenye F. 19. Hamde D. 14. Krawiec A. 12. Sande Arntsen F. (G) 13. Skullestad V. 27. Skulstad-Hansen E. 26. Sorensen L.	18. Aasmundsen S. 27. Bergmann P. 5. Blikas S. 20. dos Santos Jonker D. 25. Holseter-Karlsen P. 17. Knutsson J. (G) 7. Muhle E. 19. Sannes J. 24. Takvam L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
7', 1 - 0, Kadriu A. ⚽,
13', 1 - 1, Braendsrod M. ⚽,
32', Schie P. 🟨,
33', 1 - 2, Midtgarden E. (Pen),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
51', 2 - 2, Rogulj A. ⚽,
58', Pop S. 🟥,
62', Hargott C. ↓, Hamde D. ↑,
63', Braendsrod M. ↓, dos Santos Jonker D. ↑,
66', Woods S. 🟨,
70', Helling G. ↓, Krawiec A. ↑,
74', 3 - 2, Rogulj A. ⚽,
75', Nygaard T. ↓, Takvam L. ↑,
75', Andersen B. ↓, Aasmundsen S. ↑,
90', dos Santos Jonker D. 🟨,
90+2', Rygel M. ↓, Blikas S. ↑,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 11 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ OBOS~ligaen (Relegation: )).

Recent matches Ørn-Horten is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Eik-Tønsberg is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Eik-Tønsberg could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Eik-Tønsberg have a series of home games.

Eik-Tønsberg will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Ørn-Horten won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Ørn-Horten won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ørn-Horten
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
13.05.24	Viking 2 - Ørn-Horten	4:0 ✺
04.05.24	Ørn-Horten - Hødd	3:2 ✺
28.04.24	Arendal - Ørn-Horten	1:0 ✺
22.04.24	Ørn-Horten - Brann 2	2:3 ✺
13.04.24	Ørn-Horten - Brattvåg	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LWLLW
- Eik-Tønsberg
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
11.05.24	Eik-Tønsberg - Jerv	3:2 ✺
05.05.24	Eik-Tønsberg - Sotra	1:0 ✺
29.04.24	Brann 2 - Eik-Tønsberg	3:4 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
25.04.24	Eik-Tønsberg - Fredrikstad	2:5 ✺
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
22.04.24	Eik-Tønsberg - Viking 2	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.3 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
09.02.22	Ørn-Horten - Eik-Tønsberg	2:1

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