Match Info

2. Lig White Group - Round 31

Date: 15 March 2026, Sunday


	İnegölspor		Erbaaspor

	1	X	2
	1.44	4.05	5.35
	1.43	4.39	6.45
	1.44	4.27	6.31	Watch
	1.4	3.8	7
	1.37	4.2	7.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↑ (1.35)	4.14 ↓ (4.3)	6.5 ↓ (7.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

İnegölspor
64.1%

Draw
21.9%

Erbaaspor
14%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.2%

21.1%

11.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.8%

20%

11%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

İnegölspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Erbaaspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for İnegölspor than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for İnegölspor, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Erbaaspor than the current prediction. (-3%)

İnegölspor - Erbaaspor Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
28', 0 - 1, Kandemir O. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
65', 0 - 2, Aynaoglu O. (Penalty Awarded),
90+1', 1 - 2, Aydin O. ⚽,
90+4', Ozkaya A. 🟨,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ 2. Lig Play Offs (Play Offs: ) and 13).

Recent performances by İnegölspor have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Erbaaspor is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Erbaaspor may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, İnegölspor is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, İnegölspor won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Erbaaspor	5	2	1	2	13:12	1	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- İnegölspor
Turkish Second League White Group
07.03.26	Kepez Belediyesi - İnegölspor	0:0 ✺
21.02.26	Beykoz Anadolu - İnegölspor	0:2 ✺
14.02.26	İnegölspor - Ankaraspor	2:2 ✺
08.02.26	Muğlaspor - İnegölspor	3:0 ✺
01.02.26	İnegölspor - Kastamonuspor	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 TWTLT
- Erbaaspor
Turkish Second League White Group
11.03.26	Erbaaspor - Kepez Belediyesi	0:0 ✺
06.03.26	Bucaspor 1928 - Erbaaspor	1:1 ✺
21.02.26	Ankaraspor - Erbaaspor	3:1 ✺
15.02.26	Erbaaspor - Muğlaspor	0:1 ✺
08.02.26	Kastamonuspor - Erbaaspor	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 TTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Second League White Group
08.11.25	Erbaaspor - İnegölspor	0:5

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