Match Info

TURKEY: Super Lig - Round 24

Date: 15 February 2025, Saturday

Location: Basaksehir Fatih Terim Stadium (Istanbul)

Referee: Meler H. U. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1


	İstanbul Başakşehir		Bodrumspor

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.25	4.75	Watch
	1.88	3.24	4.48	Watch
	1.92	3.25	5.05
	1.85	3.37	4.69	Watch
	1.85	3.3	4.2
	1.83	3.29	5	Watch
	1.88	3.24	4.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↑ (1.7)	3.28 ↓ (3.82)	4.66 ↓ (4.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

İstanbul Başakşehir
50.8%

Draw
28.9%

Bodrumspor
20.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.9%

24.8%

19.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58%

23.9%

18.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

İstanbul Başakşehir has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that İstanbul Başakşehir's form might have worsened.

Bodrumspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for İstanbul Başakşehir than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for İstanbul Başakşehir, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bodrumspor than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	16.7%	0%

İstanbul Başakşehir - Bodrumspor Predictions

Users Predictions: İstanbul Başakşehir will win (25 of 30 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.99% – 96.67%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Sengezer M. (G) 5. Duarte L. 3. Opoku J. 6. Lima L. 26. Sari Y. 2. Ozdemir B. 20. Gunes U. 42. Sahiner O. (C) 23. Turuc D. 9. Piatek K. 11. Keny P. P.	1. Nogueira Sousa D. F. (G) 33. Celustka O. (C) 15. Ajeti Ar. 34. Aytemur A. 77. Sen C. 16. Fredy 21. Aslan A. 5. Antalyali T. 11. Okita J. 99. Seferi T. 9. Puscas G.
Substitutes
35. Acun H. E. 1. Babacan V. (G) 27. Ba O. 17. Beyaz O. 77. Brnic I. 98. Dilmen D. (G) 22. Djalo M. 25. Figueiredo J. 15. Gureler H. 7. Gurler S.	54. Adiyaman R. (G) 41. Bayrakdar G. 70. Bilsel E. 20. Brazao P. 4. Degismez E. 7. Dimitrov Z. 48. Dumanli C. 22. Ersunar K. (G) 29. Herelle C. 91. Ogruce E.
Coaches
Atan C.	Morais J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
34', Keny P. P. 🟨,
45+1', Opoku J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
53', Keny P. P. ↓, Figueiredo J. ↑,
71', Turuc D. 🟨,
77', Sahiner O. ↓, Gureler H. ↑,
80', Opoku J. 🟨,
83', 0 - 1, Puscas G. (Pen),
85', Aslan A. ↓, Degismez E. ↑,
85', Okita J. ↓, Bayrakdar G. ↑,
86', Sen C. 🟨,
88', Sari Y. ↓, Brnic I. ↑,
88', Turuc D. ↓, Djalo M. ↑,
88', Gunes U. ↓, Beyaz O. ↑,
90+5', Seferi T. ↓, Herelle C. ↑,

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 7 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 1. Lig).

Başakşehir is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Bodrumspor is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Bodrumspor could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Başakşehir is a favorite.

There will not play in Başakşehir: Crespo M. (Yellow Cards) Ebosele F. (Ankle Injury) Kemen O. (Yellow Cards) Operi C. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Bodrumspor: Akpinar T. (Shin Injury) Erdilman M. (Knee Injury) Osman H. (Thigh Injury) Ozdamar S. (Ankle Injury)

Last 2 head-to-head matches Başakşehir won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:2 (average 1:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Başakşehir won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- İstanbul Başakşehir
Turkish Super League
09.02.25	Antalyaspor - İstanbul Başakşehir	0:0 ✺
Turkish Cup
04.02.25	İstanbul Başakşehir - Çorum	4:1 ✺
Turkish Super League
01.02.25	İstanbul Başakşehir - Samsunspor	4:0 ✺
25.01.25	Alanyaspor - İstanbul Başakşehir	5:4 ✺
18.01.25	İstanbul Başakşehir - Çaykur Rizespor	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 TWWLW
- Bodrumspor
Turkish Super League
10.02.25	Bodrumspor - Göztepe	0:0 ✺
Turkish Cup
05.02.25	Bodrumspor - Antalyaspor	3:1 ✺
Turkish Super League
31.01.25	Konyaspor - Bodrumspor	3:1 ✺
26.01.25	Bodrumspor - Eyüpspor	0:1 ✺
18.01.25	Gaziantep - Bodrumspor	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 TWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Super League
14.09.24	Bodrumspor - İstanbul Başakşehir	0:1
Turkish Cup
30.11.21	İstanbul Başakşehir - Bodrumspor	1:2 penalties

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