Match Info

Super Lig - Round 25

Date: 7 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Basaksehir Fatih Terim Stadium (Istanbul)

Referee: Kol Y. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	İstanbul Başakşehir		Göztepe

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.25	4.1	Watch
	1.9	3.4	4
	1.96	3.21	3.94	Watch
	1.94	3.42	4.52
	1.87	3.39	4.47	Watch
	1.95	3.25	3.75
	2.01	3.35	4.27	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↑ (1.88)	3.32 ↓ (3.51)	4.15 ↑ (4.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

İstanbul Başakşehir
48.8%

Draw
28.4%

Göztepe
22.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.1%

26.9%

23%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.9%

26.5%

22.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

İstanbul Başakşehir has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Göztepe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for İstanbul Başakşehir than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Göztepe than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
65%	20%	15%

İstanbul Başakşehir - Göztepe Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Başakşehir will win (votes: 13 - 65%). Göztepe will win (votes: 3 - 15%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Başakşehir: 44.1% – 85.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Başakşehir (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DC - Başakşehir (1.24) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Başakşehir (votes: 3 - 75%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Sengezer M. (G) 5. Duarte L. 2. Ozdemir B. 3. Opoku J. 20. Gunes U. 42. Sahiner O. (C) 7. Sari Y. 11. Fayzullaev A. 21. Operi C. 9. Selke D. 14. Shomurodov E.	1. Lis M. (C) 3. Allan Godoi 5. Heliton 26. Bokele M. 77. Bayrak O. 30. Dennis A. 20. Miroshi N. 15. Cherni A. 8. Antunes A. 19. Jeh 9. Juan Santos
Substitutes
80. Alemdar D. (G) 77. Brnic I. 6. Bulut O. 13. Crespo M. 10. Da Costa N. 4. Ergun O. 15. Gureler H. 18. Kaluzinski J. 88. Karatas K. 91. Yildirim B.	4. Altikardes T. 23. Bayir F. 11. Bekiroglu E. 14. Guilherme Luiz 39. Janderson 17. Kilicarslan E. (G) 10. Krastev F. 6. Mohammed M. 22. Yildiz U.
Coaches
Sahin N.	Stoilov S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
13', 1 - 0, Sahiner O. ⚽, Fayzullaev A. (A),
35', Operi C. ↓, Karatas K. ↑,
39', 1 - 1, Antunes A. ⚽, Bayrak O. (A),
42', Bokele M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Fayzullaev A. ↓, Brnic I. ↑,
62', Ozdemir B. ↓, Crespo M. ↑,
62', Selke D. ↓, Ergun O. ↑,
66', Antunes A. ↓, Krastev F. ↑,
67', Jeh ↓, Janderson ↑,
69', 2 - 1, Brnic I. ⚽, Sari Y. (A),
75', Sari Y. ↓, Gureler H. ↑,
76', Dennis A. 🟨,
86', Cherni A. ↓, Yildiz U. ↑,
86', Juan Santos ↓, Guilherme Luiz ↑,
90+3', Bokele M. ↓, Altikardes T. ↑,
90+4', Karatas K. 🟨,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 6 and 5).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Başakşehir won 2.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Başakşehir may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Başakşehir is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Başakşehir: Kemen O. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Göztepe: Koybasi I. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Başakşehir: Harit A. (Injury) Yildirim B. (Injury)

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Başakşehir won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 30:19. (average 1.9:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Başakşehir won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:9. (average 2.3:1.1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Basaksehir	6	2	1	3	10:11	-1	7
17	Goztepe	6	0	3	3	11:15	-4	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- İstanbul Başakşehir
Turkish Cup
03.03.26	İstanbul Başakşehir - Trabzonspor	2:4 ✺
Turkish Super League
27.02.26	İstanbul Başakşehir - Konyaspor	2:0 ✺
21.02.26	Alanyaspor - İstanbul Başakşehir	1:2 ✺
15.02.26	İstanbul Başakşehir - Beşiktaş	2:3 ✺
08.02.26	Eyüpspor - İstanbul Başakşehir	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LWWLW
- Göztepe
Turkish Super League
28.02.26	Göztepe - Eyüpspor	0:0 ✺
22.02.26	Beşiktaş - Göztepe	4:0 ✺
15.02.26	Göztepe - Kayserispor	0:0 ✺
08.02.26	Konyaspor - Göztepe	0:0 ✺
31.01.26	Göztepe - Fatih Karagümrükspor	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 TLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Super League
05.10.25	Göztepe - İstanbul Başakşehir	1:0
28.04.25	Göztepe - İstanbul Başakşehir	4:1
30.11.24	İstanbul Başakşehir - Göztepe	4:1
Turkish Cup
20.12.22	İstanbul Başakşehir - Göztepe	3:1
Turkish Super League
22.01.22	İstanbul Başakşehir - Göztepe	1:2
12.09.21	Göztepe - İstanbul Başakşehir	2:1
14.02.21	Göztepe - İstanbul Başakşehir	2:1

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