Match Info

TURKEY: 1. Lig - Round 8

Date: 6 October 2024, Sunday

Location: Necmi Kadıoğlu Stadyumu (Istanbul)

Referee: Mertoglu E. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX, TRT Spor


	İstanbulspor		Kocaelispor

	1	X	2
	2.45	3	2.7	Watch
	2.25	3.2	2.75
	2.5	3.3	2.8
	2.6	3.3	2.76
	2.58	3.16	2.76	Watch
	2.38	3.2	2.7
	2.44	3.14	2.77	Watch
	2.5	3.3	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.46 ↑ (2.23)	3.2 ↓ (3.26)	2.76 ↓ (3.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

İstanbulspor
37.5%

Draw
28.9%

Kocaelispor
33.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.7%

28.6%

29.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9%

27.8%

28.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

İstanbulspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Kocaelispor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for İstanbulspor than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for İstanbulspor, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kocaelispor than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	20%	0%

İstanbulspor - Kocaelispor Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. İstanbulspor will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Dogan I. (G) 23. Erdogan O. 5. Ologo Inainfe M. 13. Coly R. 20. Sahan O. 6. Vorobjovas M. 34. Loshaj F. 66. Yasar A. 16. Sen K. 9. Gultekin E. 19. Diarra G.	35. Degirmenci G. (G) 22. Oguz A. 5. Appindangoye A. 88. Osmanpasa C. 3. Cinan M. 15. Serbest T. 8. Celik C. 7. Beridze G. 6. Pedrinho 20. Mendes R. 17. Caglayan O.
Substitutes
11. Aydin D. 2. Bahadir Y. 10. Ethemi V. 99. Laurentino J. 44. Ozer Y. 7. Sambissa D. 24. Sarikaya M. 14. Sonmez K. 8. Temel V. 35. Yitmez H. (G)	70. Alici B. 11. Caktas M. 19. Gedik E. 18. Gedik F. 41. Oztonga O. 9. Sagat A. 1. Tekin H. (G) 45. Tunali M. 4. Vukovic J. 32. Yilmaz M.
Coaches
Korkmaz O.	Saglam E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
8', 0 - 1, Mendes R. ⚽, Caglayan O. (A),
30', Vorobjovas M. 🟨,
36', 0 - 2, Mendes R. ⚽, Celik C. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Beridze G. ↓, Alici B. ↑,
46', Sahan O. ↓, Sambissa D. ↑,
46', Vorobjovas M. ↓, Sarikaya M. ↑,
46', Coly R. ↓, Ethemi V. ↑,
63', 0 - 3, Celik C. ⚽, Pedrinho (A),
65', Caglayan O. ↓, Sagat A. ↑,
65', Serbest T. ↓, Vukovic J. ↑,
66', Sen K. ↓, Temel V. ↑,
67', Yasar A. 🟨,
74', Yasar A. ↓, Ozer Y. ↑,
74', Celik C. ↓, Tunali M. ↑,
83', Mendes R. ↓, Gedik F. ↑,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

There will not play in İstanbulspor: Sarialioglu E. A. (Knee Injury) Vardar B. (Illness)

There will not play in Kocaelispor: Marcao (Ribs Injury) Sarman H. A. (Knee Injury)

Last 2 head-to-head matches İstanbulspor won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:3 (average 1:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams İstanbulspor won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- İstanbulspor AŞ
Turkish First League
30.09.24	Fatih Karagümrükspor - İstanbulspor	1:0 ✺
22.09.24	İstanbulspor - Bandırmaspor	0:0 ✺
14.09.24	İstanbulspor - Umraniyespor	3:0 ✺
01.09.24	Ankaragücü - İstanbulspor	2:1 ✺
26.08.24	İstanbulspor - Şanlıurfaspor	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LTWLW
- Kocaelispor
Turkish First League
30.09.24	Kocaelispor - Şanlıurfaspor	0:0 ✺
22.09.24	Çorum - Kocaelispor	0:2 ✺
15.09.24	Kocaelispor - Manisa FK	1:2 ✺
02.09.24	Amed SK - Kocaelispor	3:0 ✺
23.08.24	Kocaelispor - Erzurumspor	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 TWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Turkish First League
27.02.22	İstanbulspor - Kocaelispor	1:1
02.10.21	Kocaelispor - İstanbulspor	2:1

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