Match Info

1. Lig - Round 16

Date: 7 December 2025, Sunday

Location: Necmi Kadıoğlu Stadyumu (Istanbul)

Referee: Altay C. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Tabii, TRT Spor


	İstanbulspor		Sivasspor

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.1	2.8	Watch
	2.33	3.19	2.86
	2.4	3.34	2.99
	2.55	3.4	2.61	Watch
	2.4	3.1	2.9
	2.37	3.26	2.94	Watch
	2.33	3.2	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↓ (2.8)	3.23 ↓ (3.57)	2.85 ↑ (2.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

İstanbulspor
38.9%

Draw
28.6%

Sivasspor
32.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.1%

26%

40.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.6%

24.8%

42.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

İstanbulspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in İstanbulspor's performance.

Sivasspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sivasspor might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for İstanbulspor than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with İstanbulspor that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sivasspor than the current prediction. (+10.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sivasspor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	20%	40%

İstanbulspor - Sivasspor Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. İstanbulspor will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Sivasspor will win (votes: 4 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for İstanbulspor: 9.6% – 70.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Dogan I. (G) 21. Duhaney D. 14. Sahin D. 24. Uzunhan E. 3. Aksu D. 10. Loshaj F. 6. Vorobjovas M. 7. Sambissa D. 9. Gultekin E. (C) 66. Mamadou M. 77. Krstovski M.	1. Bakirbas G. (G) 26. Yildirim M. 3. Erdogan O. 2. Appindangoye A. 5. Basyigit E. 80. Celik C. 58. Ciftci U. (C) 15. Fidan K. 8. Charisis C. 11. Badji A. 72. Avramovski D.
Substitutes
2. Bahadir Y. 30. Cham A. 83. Dayakli I. 52. Duymaz O. F. 40. Erdal I. A. 27. Koseoglu E. 70. Sahin C. 99. Sol M. 8. Temel V. 28. Tutar A. (G)	53. Baynazoglu Y. (G) 14. Boke T. 27. Ethemi V. 77. Kefkir Y. 74. Koparan K. (G) 12. Malle A. 7. Paluli M. 88. Seker T. 95. Selvili A.
Coaches
Kanbak B.	Altiparmak M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
13', Gultekin E. ↓, Duymaz O. F. ↑,
17', 0 - 1, Basyigit E. ⚽, Ciftci U. (A),
40', Celik C. 🟨,
43', Vorobjovas M. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Badji A. ↓, Boke T. ↑,
49', Ciftci U. 🟨,
58', 1 - 1, Sambissa D. ⚽,
64', Uzunhan E. 🟨,
67', Avramovski D. ↓, Ethemi V. ↑,
70', Krstovski M. ↓, Sol M. ↑,
70', Loshaj F. ↓, Temel V. ↑,
76', Celik C. ↓, Seker T. ↑,
80', 2 - 1, Temel V. ⚽, Sol M. (A),
86', Fidan K. ↓, Malle A. ↑,
90+1', Sambissa D. ↓, Sahin C. ↑,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 15 and 13).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Sivasspor may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in İstanbulspor: Aydin D. (Suspended) Kabadayi K. (Suspended) Ologo Inainfe M. (Broken Leg) Ozer Y. (Suspended) Sarialioglu E. (Suspended) Tultak F. (Suspended) Vardar B. (Illness) Yilmaz A. S. (Suspended)

There will not play in Sivasspor: Abdullah Cakmak A. (Suspended) Albayrak M. (Suspended) Celik M. (Suspended) Menderes C. (Suspended) Pritchard A. (Inactive) Vural A. (Suspended) Yigiter O. (Yellow Cards)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, İstanbulspor won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 1:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, İstanbulspor won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 2:1.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Sivasspor - the odds 2.27 are the expected chance of winning is 40.87%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- İstanbulspor AŞ
Turkish Cup
03.12.25	İstanbulspor - Sarıyer	6:0 ✺
Turkish First League
29.11.25	Erzurumspor - İstanbulspor	4:0 ✺
22.11.25	İstanbulspor - Sakaryaspor	3:3 ✺
07.11.25	Bodrumspor - İstanbulspor	5:0 ✺
02.11.25	İstanbulspor - Pendikspor	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WLTLT
- Sivasspor
Turkish Cup
03.12.25	Sivasspor - Aliaga	1:3 ✺
Turkish First League
30.11.25	Sivasspor - Boluspor	1:0 ✺
23.11.25	Erokspor - Sivasspor	2:1 ✺
08.11.25	Sivasspor - Manisa FK	3:2 ✺
01.11.25	Umraniyespor - Sivasspor	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Super League
17.05.24	İstanbulspor - Sivasspor	1:3
23.12.23	Sivasspor - İstanbulspor	1:0
Club Friendly
13.07.23	Sivasspor - İstanbulspor	3:0
Turkish Super League
13.03.23	İstanbulspor - Sivasspor	3:0
11.09.22	Sivasspor - İstanbulspor	1:1

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