Match Info

1. Lig - Round 14

Date: 23 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Esenler Stadium (Istanbul)

Referee: Akarsu A. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX, Tabii, TRT Spor


	Erokspor		Sivasspor

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.25	3	Watch
	2.05	3.48	3.15
	1.81	3.8	3.9
	1.71	3.88	4.26	Watch
	2.17	3.43	3.17	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↑ (1.69)	3.57 ↓ (3.69)	3.5 ↓ (4.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Erokspor
47.4%

Draw
26%

Sivasspor
26.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.6%

25%

20.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.4%

24.6%

20.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Erokspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Erokspor's form might have worsened.

Sivasspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sivasspor's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Erokspor than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Erokspor, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sivasspor than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sivasspor, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	50%	0%

Erokspor - Sivasspor Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Erokspor will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Erokspor (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - Sivasspor (1.69) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Erokspor (votes: 1 - 50%). Sivasspor (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
44. Oral E. A. (G) 97. Cavare D. 15. Nzaba F. 14. Ulas O. 33. Alic E. 4. Kacar T. (C) 5. Okyar M. 7. Catakovic H. 12. Kanga G. 20. Niyaz R. 10. Kayode O.	1. Bakirbas G. (G) 7. Paluli M. (C) 2. Appindangoye A. 3. Erdogan O. 5. Basyigit E. 6. Yigiter O. 80. Celik C. 9. Luan 15. Fidan K. 23. Kimpioka B. 14. Boke T.
Substitutes
80. Genc M. 23. Hidayetoglu A. 6. Jack R. 2. Kestane O. 17. Korkmaz E. 73. Lus B. 41. Mehmet I. 16. Yasar A. 30. Yucer Y.	72. Avramovski D. 11. Badji A. 53. Baynazoglu Y. (G) 8. Charisis C. 58. Ciftci U. 77. Kefkir Y. 12. Malle A. 41. Sarman S. (G) 88. Seker T. 26. Yildirim M.
Coaches
Ozkoylu O.	Altiparmak M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
58', 1 - 0, Catakovic H. ⚽, Kayode O. (A),
64', Kanga G. ↓, Lus B. ↑,
65', Basyigit E. ↓, Ciftci U. ↑,
65', Boke T. ↓, Badji A. ↑,
67', Kimpioka B. 🟨,
71', 2 - 0, Niyaz R. ⚽, Catakovic H. (A),
71', Celik C. 🟨,
72', Fidan K. ↓, Charisis C. ↑,
72', Yigiter O. ↓, Avramovski D. ↑,
80', Catakovic H. ↓, Hidayetoglu A. ↑,
80', Okyar M. ↓, Jack R. ↑,
81', Kimpioka B. ↓, Malle A. ↑,
83', 2 - 1, Badji A. ⚽, Ciftci U. (A),
90+3', Niyaz R. ↓, Genc M. ↑,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 14).

Erokspor is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Sivasspor's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Erokspor may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Erokspor is the team to beat.

There will not play in Erokspor: Amilton (Yellow Cards) Faye M. (Yellow Cards) Karaman A. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Sivasspor: Ethemi V. (Red Card) Menderes C. (Finger Injury) Pritchard A. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Sivasspor: Charisis C. (Injury)

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Erokspor won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 1:2.3).

Including home match between the teams, Erokspor won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Erokspor
Turkish First League
09.11.25	Erzurumspor - Erokspor	1:1 ✺
03.11.25	Erokspor - Çorum	3:1 ✺
Turkish Cup
30.10.25	Erokspor - Agrispor	3:0 ✺
Turkish First League
26.10.25	Bandırmaspor - Erokspor	0:0 ✺
19.10.25	Erokspor - Bodrumspor	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 TWWTT
- Sivasspor
Turkish First League
08.11.25	Sivasspor - Manisa FK	3:2 ✺
01.11.25	Umraniyespor - Sivasspor	1:0 ✺
Turkish Cup
28.10.25	Kepez Belediyesi - Sivasspor	1:3 ✺
Turkish First League
24.10.25	Sivasspor - Hatayspor	1:1 ✺
19.10.25	Keçiörengücü - Sivasspor	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Cup
20.12.22	Sivasspor - Erokspor	5:2
18.12.19	Sivasspor - Erokspor	0:1
03.12.19	Erokspor - Sivasspor	0:2

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