Match Info

1. Lig - Round 12

Date: 1 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Ümraniye Hekimbaşı Şehir Stadyumu (Istanbul)

Referee: Arslan Y. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX, Tabii, TRT Spor


	Umraniyespor		Sivasspor

	1	X	2
	5.25	3.6	1.62	Watch
	5.24	3.84	1.56
	4.62	3.54	1.73	Watch
	5.03	3.64	1.65
	6.5	4.5	1.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.33 ↑ (4.62)	3.82 ↑ (3.54)	1.59 ↓ (1.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Umraniyespor
17.4%

Draw
24.3%

Sivasspor
58.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.1%

26.2%

53.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.7%

25.7%

54.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Umraniyespor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Sivasspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Umraniyespor than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sivasspor than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	37.5%	37.5%

Umraniyespor - Sivasspor Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Umraniyespor will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Sivasspor will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sivasspor: 4% – 71%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Topaloglu C. (G) 88. Djokanovic A. 44. Glumac T. (C) 12. Kosoko T. 97. Saitoglu Y. 17. Hoti E. 20. Babacan A. 75. Kaplan E. 92. Ozdemir T. 9. Celik B. 11. Ekincier B.	35. Vural A. (G) 7. Paluli M. 2. Appindangoye A. 3. Erdogan O. 5. Basyigit E. (C) 72. Avramovski D. 8. Charisis C. 9. Luan 80. Celik C. 12. Malle A. 14. Boke T.
Substitutes
1. Adiyaman U. (G) 5. Aktas K. 34. Anac E. (G) 29. Fidan S. 18. Karasu M. 14. Kocaturk Y. 53. Oksuz B. 59. Yilmaz Y.	11. Badji A. 1. Bakirbas G. (G) 20. Celik M. 27. Ethemi V. 15. Fidan K. 77. Kefkir Y. 17. Kesgin K. 23. Kimpioka B. 6. Yigiter O. 26. Yildirim M.
Coaches
Acikgoz L.	Altiparmak M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, Hoti E. ⚽, Ozdemir T. (A),
34', Saitoglu Y. 🟨,
39', Boke T. 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Malle A. ↓, Kimpioka B. ↑,
46', Avramovski D. ↓, Badji A. ↑,
72', Basyigit E. ↓, Fidan K. ↑,
80', Kosoko T. ↓, Karasu M. ↑,
80', Celik C. ↓, Ethemi V. ↑,
88', Charisis C. ↓, Yigiter O. ↑,
88', Ozdemir T. ↓, Yilmaz Y. ↑,
90+1', Appindangoye A. 🟥,
90+3', Celik B. ↓, Oksuz B. ↑,
90+3', Babacan A. ↓, Aktas K. ↑,
90+6', Paluli M. 🟨,
90+6', Vural A. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 11).

Umraniyespor has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Sivasspor has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Sivasspor may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Sivasspor is the team to beat.

There will not play in Umraniyespor: Goksu S. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Sivasspor: Menderes C. (Finger Injury) Pritchard A. (Inactive)

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Umraniyespor won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 2:1).

Including home match between the teams, Umraniyespor won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Umraniyespor
Turkish Cup
28.10.25	Kahramanmaraşspor - Umraniyespor	4:0 ✺
Turkish First League
24.10.25	Erzurumspor - Umraniyespor	2:0 ✺
17.10.25	Umraniyespor - Sarıyer	1:3 ✺
04.10.25	Bandırmaspor - Umraniyespor	2:1 ✺
27.09.25	Umraniyespor - Çorum	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LLLLT
- Sivasspor
Turkish Cup
28.10.25	Kepez Belediyesi - Sivasspor	1:3 ✺
Turkish First League
24.10.25	Sivasspor - Hatayspor	1:1 ✺
19.10.25	Keçiörengücü - Sivasspor	0:0 ✺
05.10.25	Sivasspor - Serik Belediyespor	0:0 ✺
29.09.25	Sakaryaspor - Sivasspor	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WTTTT

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Super League
07.05.23	Umraniyespor - Sivasspor	4:1
12.11.22	Sivasspor - Umraniyespor	2:2
Turkish First League
18.04.17	Sivasspor - Umraniyespor	0:0

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