Match Info

1. Lig - Round 12

Date: 24 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Ümraniye Belediyesi Şehir Stadyumu (Istanbul) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Buyuk Y. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Asia	—	TOD
Turkey	13:30	beIN Connect, TRT Avaz


	Umraniyespor		Sivasspor

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.2	2.9	Watch
	2.15	3.20	2.87
	2.24	3.19	3	Watch
	2.34	3.35	3.15
	2.26	3.32	3.08	Watch
	2.25	3.2	3.05
	2.2	3.14	3
	2.17	3.25	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↑ (2.17)	3.23 ↓ (3.38)	3.01 ↓ (3.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Umraniyespor
41.2%

Draw
28.3%

Sivasspor
30.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

42.8%

27.5%

29.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1%

28.4%

28.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Umraniyespor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Sivasspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Umraniyespor than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sivasspor than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Umraniyespor - Sivasspor Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Topaloglu C. (G) 58. Kartal M. 4. Eser M. 44. Glumac T. (C) 88. Gedik E. 8. Goksu S. 10. Djokanovic A. 11. Blanco A. 17. Yilmaz B. 7. Hostikka S. 27. Soukou C.	16. Erdursun A. (G) 26. Yildirim F. 4. Celik M. 20. Mohammed M. 77. Kefkir Y. 8. Charisis C. 11. Kapacak B. 66. Aksoy O. 6. Fidan K. 27. Ethemi V. 9. Manaj R. (C)
Substitutes
28. Aydogan O. 20. Babacan A. 9. Bostan M. 26. Cakir B. 13. Koklu O. A. (G) 12. Kosoko T. 53. Oksuz B. 16. Sen K. 77. Tasci T. 66. Yasar A.	90. Albayrak M. 1. Bakirbas G. (G) 91. Baskuyu O. 30. Ceesay E. 23. Celik C. 17. Duodu C. 19. Gokay E. 28. Kavrazli S. 34. Tuzlacik T. 99. Yilmaz C.
Coaches
Acikgoz L.	Tasdemir I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
7', Fidan K. 🟥,
27', 1 - 0, Yilmaz B. ⚽, Goksu S. (A),
30', Mohammed M. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Yildirim F. ↓, Duodu C. ↑,
63', 2 - 0, Blanco A. ⚽, Yilmaz B. (A),
67', 3 - 0, Glumac T. ⚽, Hostikka S. (A),
68', Ethemi V. ↓, Celik C. ↑,
68', Charisis C. ↓, Gokay E. ↑,
68', Manaj R. ↓, Ceesay E. ↑,
72', Hostikka S. ↓, Kosoko T. ↑,
72', Goksu S. ↓, Tasci T. ↑,
72', Blanco A. ↓, Bostan M. ↑,
77', Kosoko T. 🟨,
79', 4 - 0, Bostan M. ⚽, Tasci T. (A),
84', Aksoy O. ↓, Kavrazli S. ↑,
84', Djokanovic A. ↓, Aydogan O. ↑,
84', Soukou C. ↓, Babacan A. ↑,
88', Celik M. 🟨,
90+2', Duodu C. 🟥,
90+2', Glumac T. 🟨,

Preview

A balanced mid-table encounter with both sides eager to climb into upper positions (ranked 15th and 12th).

Umraniyespor is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Performances by Sivasspor have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Umraniyespor holding a narrow advantage.

Confirmed absences for Umraniyespor: Yildirim O. (Red Card).

Confirmed absences for Sivasspor: Amilton (Foot Injury) Ciftci U. (Muscle Injury) Vural A. (Suspended).

Doubtful / questionable for Sivasspor: Erdogan O. (Injury).

In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Umraniyespor has recorded 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 7:4 (averaging 1.4:0.8 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Umraniyespor against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 5:1 goals (averaging 2.5:0.5 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Umraniyespor	11	3	4	4	13:10	3	13
14	Sivasspor	12	2	7	3	15:18	-3	13

Last Results with these Odds

Sivasspor - the odds 3.12 are the expected chance of winning is 29.75%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Umraniyespor
Turkish First League
18.10.26	Vanspor - Umraniyespor	0:2 ✺
14.10.26	Umraniyespor - Boluspor	Abandoned ✺
09.10.26	Umraniyespor - Sarıyer	1:1 ✺
18.09.26	Bandırmaspor - Umraniyespor	0:1 ✺
12.09.26	Umraniyespor - Antalyaspor	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 W?TWL
- Sivasspor
Turkish First League
17.10.26	Sivasspor - Sarıyer	1:1 ✺
13.10.26	Bandırmaspor - Sivasspor	1:1 ✺
09.10.26	Sivasspor - Pendikspor	4:1 ✺
19.09.26	Keçiörengücü - Sivasspor	1:1 ✺
13.09.26	Sivasspor - Muğlaspor	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 TTWTT

Latest Head to Head

Turkish First League
15.03.26	Sivasspor - Umraniyespor	1:0
01.11.25	Umraniyespor - Sivasspor	1:0
Turkish Super League
07.05.23	Umraniyespor - Sivasspor	4:1
12.11.22	Sivasspor - Umraniyespor	2:2
Turkish First League
18.04.17	Sivasspor - Umraniyespor	0:0

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