Match Info

III Liga - Group I - Round 27

Date: 18 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadion Miejski w Lomzy (Lomza)


	ŁKS Łomża		Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.9	4.35
	1.65	3.92	4.01
	1.61	4.15	4.32	Watch
	1.63	3.84	4.4	Watch
	1.69	3.78	3.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (1.69)	3.92 ↑ (3.78)	4.15 ↑ (3.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

ŁKS Łomża
55.2%

Draw
23%

Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki
21.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.5%

23.5%

24.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.5%

24.4%

23.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

ŁKS Łomża has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for ŁKS Łomża than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ŁKS Łomża - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
59', 0 - 1, Kempski M. ⚽,
83', 1 - 1, Sauczek C. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Łomża won 1.

Łomża has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Tomaszów Mazowiecki is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Łomża has had a series of away games.

In this match, Łomża is seen as the favorite.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Łomża won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:12. (average 1.6:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Łomża won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:4. (average 1.8:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	T. Mazowiecki	11	4	1	6	21:23	-2	13
18	LKS Lomza	11	0	3	8	10:25	-15	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ŁKS Łomża
Polish Division 3 - Group I
12.04.26	Wigry Suwałki - ŁKS Łomża	1:0 ✺
04.04.26	ŁKS Łomża - Ząbkovia Ząbki	3:0 ✺
28.03.26	Olimpia Elbląg - ŁKS Łomża	0:3 ✺
21.03.26	Broń Radom - ŁKS Łomża	2:0 ✺
07.03.26	Znicz Biała Piska - ŁKS Łomża	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LWWLW
- Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki
Polish Division 3 - Group I
11.04.26	Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - Widzew Łódź II	3:1 ✺
04.04.26	Broń Radom - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki	2:3 ✺
29.03.26	Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - Wikielec	3:1 ✺
21.03.26	GKS Bełchatów - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki	1:0 ✺
14.03.26	Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - Warta Sieradz	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 WWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group I
27.09.25	Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - ŁKS Łomża	1:1
12.04.25	ŁKS Łomża - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki	6:0
14.09.24	Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - ŁKS Łomża	4:4
09.03.24	Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - ŁKS Łomża	1:1
19.08.23	ŁKS Łomża - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki	1:2
05.05.19	ŁKS Łomża - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki	0:1
15.09.18	Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - ŁKS Łomża	1:0

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