Match Info

III Liga - Group I - Round 26

Date: 11 April 2026, Saturday


	Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki		Widzew Łódź II

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.8	2.98
	2.11	3.78	2.69
	1.77	4.31	3.39	Watch
	2.1	3.7	2.63
	1.79	4.04	3.63	Watch
	2.17	3.47	2.63
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↓ (2.17)	3.85 ↑ (3.47)	2.99 ↑ (2.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki
45.9%

Draw
23.6%

Widzew Łódź II
30.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.8%

25.5%

33.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5%

23.9%

31.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki's performance.

Widzew Łódź II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Widzew Łódź II than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - Widzew Łódź II Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
6', 1 - 0, Szymczak K. ⚽,
38', 1 - 1, Bala T. ⚽,
41', 2 - 1, Pienkowski M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
82', 3 - 1, Gebala P. ⚽,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 8 and 13).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Widzew Łódź II may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Tomaszów Mazowiecki might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Tomaszów Mazowiecki won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Widzew Lodz II	10	4	2	4	21:18	3	14
12	T. Mazowiecki	11	4	1	6	21:23	-2	13

Last Results with these Odds

Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - the odds 2.17 are the expected chance of winning is 40.81%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki
Polish Division 3 - Group I
04.04.26	Broń Radom - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki	2:3 ✺
29.03.26	Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - Wikielec	3:1 ✺
21.03.26	GKS Bełchatów - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki	1:0 ✺
14.03.26	Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - Warta Sieradz	1:1 ✺
07.03.26	Wasilków - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WWLTT
- Widzew Łódź II
Polish Division 3 - Group I
03.04.26	Widzew Łódź II - Znicz Biała Piska	2:3 ✺
29.03.26	Widzew Łódź II - Troszyn	0:2 ✺
20.03.26	Warta Sieradz - Widzew Łódź II	1:2 ✺
15.03.26	Widzew Łódź II - Broń Radom	6:0 ✺
07.03.26	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Widzew Łódź II	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group I
21.09.25	Widzew Łódź II - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki	0:2

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