Match Info

Division 1 - Round 4

Date: 16 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadion ŁKS (Lodz)

Referee: Lezny S. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	TVP Polonia, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	ŁKS Łódź		Termalica Nieciecza

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.3	3.1
	2.05	3.40	3.10
	2.08	3.3	3.2
	2.13	3.64	3.35
	2.09	3.61	3.25	Watch
	2.08	3.6	3.25
	2.02	3.42	3.21	Watch
	2.04	3.25	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↓ (2.12)	3.44 ↑ (3.14)	3.2 ↑ (2.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

ŁKS Łódź
44.4%

Draw
26.8%

Termalica Nieciecza
28.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.8%

28.2%

30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2%

29.8%

28.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

ŁKS Łódź has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Termalica Nieciecza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for ŁKS Łódź than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Termalica Nieciecza than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ŁKS Łódź - Termalica Nieciecza Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
77. Weglarz D. (G) 6. Rudol S. (C) 22. Craciun A. 3. Falowski K. 7. Sokol D. 20. Wysokinski M. 88. Terlecki K. 19. Nowakowski K. 37. Keiblinger J. 13. Podlinski K. 9. Arasa A.	1. Chovan A. (G) 4. Zarowny A. 5. Masoero L. 77. Putivtsev A. 27. Boboc R. 23. Guerrero S. 15. Dabrowski S. 13. Kubica K. 21. Hilbrycht D. 26. Jakubik W. 25. Zapolnik K. (C)
Substitutes
11. Blachewicz M. 1. Bomba L. (G) 4. Farbiszewski B. 8. Hinokio K. 27. Krykun S. 21. Kupczak M. . Siwek A. 10. Strzalek I. 5. Wiech L.	17. Biniek D. 10. Drag M. 20. Jaroszewski M. 9. Jimenez J. . Kozik M. 66. Olejnik P. 11. Slawinski O. . Surowiec K. 76. Topor E. (G)
Coaches
Szoka G.	Brosz M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
31', 1 - 0, Falowski K. ⚽,
39', 2 - 0, Podlinski K. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Dabrowski S. ↓, Jaroszewski M. ↑,
50', Jaroszewski M. 🟨,
52', Putivtsev A. 🟨,
59', Kubica K. ↓, Jimenez J. ↑,
60', Craciun A. 🟨,
62', 2 - 1, Hilbrycht D. ⚽,
63', Sokol D. ↓, Blachewicz M. ↑,
63', Terlecki K. ↓, Hinokio K. ↑,
74', Nowakowski K. ↓, Strzalek I. ↑,
74', Keiblinger J. ↓, Krykun S. ↑,
84', Boboc R. ↓, Biniek D. ↑,
84', Jakubik W. ↓, Slawinski O. ↑,
90', Arasa A. ↓, Siwek A. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, ŁKS won 0.

ŁKS has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Termalica is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

ŁKS might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, ŁKS won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:14. (average 1.3:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, ŁKS won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:7. (average 1.6:1.4).

Outrights of Polish Division 1 for now

LKS Lodz: 8.11%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	LKS Lodz	9	4	3	2	13:9	4	15

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ŁKS Łódź
Polish Division 1
09.08.26	ŁKS Łódź - Chrobry Głogów	1:2 ✺
31.07.26	ŁKS Łódź - Polonia Bytom	2:1 ✺
25.07.26	Pogoń Siedlce - ŁKS Łódź	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
04.07.26	Radomiak Radom - ŁKS Łódź	1:2 ✺
01.07.26	ŁKS Łódź - FC Dinamo Bucureşti	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LWTWL
- Termalica Nieciecza
Polish Division 1
09.08.26	Termalica Nieciecza - Warta Poznań	1:2 ✺
01.08.26	Pogoń Siedlce - Termalica Nieciecza	1:2 ✺
26.07.26	Termalica Nieciecza - Ruch Chorzów	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
18.07.26	Termalica Nieciecza - Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała	1:1 ✺
17.07.26	Korona Kielce - Termalica Nieciecza	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 LWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
02.07.25	Termalica Nieciecza - ŁKS Łódź	0:0
Polish Division 1
10.04.25	ŁKS Łódź - Termalica Nieciecza	1:2
21.09.24	Termalica Nieciecza - ŁKS Łódź	2:2
16.04.23	Termalica Nieciecza - ŁKS Łódź	2:2
11.09.22	ŁKS Łódź - Termalica Nieciecza	1:1
04.06.21	ŁKS Łódź - Termalica Nieciecza	3:2
05.12.20	Termalica Nieciecza - ŁKS Łódź	2:0

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