Match Info

Division 1 - Round 1

Date: 26 July 2026, Sunday

Location: Termalica Bruk-Bet Nieciecza (Nieciecza)

Referee: Marciniak T. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	TVP Polonia, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Termalica Nieciecza		Ruch Chorzów

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.2	2.45
	2.15	3.30	2.95
	2.58	3.35	2.48
	2.83	3.6	2.57
	2.21	3.5	3.08	Watch
	2.6	3.45	2.5
	2.66	3.33	2.55	Watch
	2.5	3.25	2.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.51 ↑ (1.83)	3.37 ↓ (3.5)	2.63 ↓ (3.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Termalica Nieciecza
37%

Draw
27.6%

Ruch Chorzów
35.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.7%

26%

24.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Termalica Nieciecza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Termalica Nieciecza's form might have worsened.

Ruch Chorzów has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ruch Chorzów's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Termalica Nieciecza - Ruch Chorzów Predictions

Users Predictions: Termalica Nieciecza will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Chovan A. (G) 4. Zarowny A. 50. Opanasenko Y. 77. Putivtsev A. 21. Hilbrycht D. 8. Kurzawa R. 23. Guerrero S. 9. Jimenez J. 20. Jaroszewski M. 26. Jakubik W. 25. Zapolnik K. (C)	44. Wrabel J. (G) 14. Wojcik F. 17. Lukic A. 28. Lesniak-Paduch N. 3. del Moral A. 6. Chrapek M. 20. Szymanski S. (C) 27. Laskowski K. 18. Nagamatsu S. 21. Szwedzik P. 95. Szczepan D.
Substitutes
. Biniek D. 27. Boboc R. . Kozik M. 13. Kubica K. 5. Masoero L. . Olejnik P. . Slawinski O. 16. Surowiec P. 95. Topor E. (G)	11. Cieslak S. 24. Komor A. 7. Kristan J. 29. Lachendro F. 9. Pawlowski M. 1. Potoczny M. (G) 5. Rosol M. 88. Rostek K. 2. Wachowiak K.
Coaches
Brosz M.	Fornalik W.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Jakubik W. ↓, Kubica K. ↑,
46', Putivtsev A. ↓, Masoero L. ↑,
47', 1 - 0, Zapolnik K. ⚽,
57', Chrapek M. 🟨,
65', Jimenez J. ↓, Boboc R. ↑,
65', Laskowski K. ↓, Lachendro F. ↑,
66', 2 - 0, Zapolnik K. ⚽,
70', Opanasenko Y. ↓, Olejnik P. ↑,
81', Szczepan D. ↓, Pawlowski M. ↑,
81', Szwedzik P. ↓, Rosol M. ↑,
81', Wojcik F. ↓, Komor A. ↑,
86', Jaroszewski M. ↓, Biniek D. ↑,
90', Szymanski S. ↓, Kristan J. ↑,
90+4', Olejnik P. 🟨,
90+6', Lukic A. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Termalica won 1.

Termalica may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Termalica is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Termalica won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:13. (average 1:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Termalica won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 0.8:0.8).

Outrights of Polish Division 1 for now

Ruch Chorzow: 4.51%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Ruch Chorzow	9	3	3	3	9:11	-2	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Termalica Nieciecza
Club Friendly
18.07.26	Termalica Nieciecza - Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała	1:1 ✺
17.07.26	Korona Kielce - Termalica Nieciecza	0:2 ✺
08.07.26	Puszcza Niepołomice - Termalica Nieciecza	0:3 ✺
20.06.26	Unia Tarnów - Termalica Nieciecza	0:5 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
23.05.26	Termalica Nieciecza - Lechia Gdańsk	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.8 TWWWW
- Ruch Chorzów
Club Friendly
10.07.26	Wieczysta Kraków - Ruch Chorzów	2:0 ✺
Polish Division 1
24.05.26	Znicz Pruszków - Ruch Chorzów	3:2 ✺
17.05.26	Miedź Legnica - Ruch Chorzów	1:2 ✺
10.05.26	GKS Tychy - Ruch Chorzów	0:4 ✺
03.05.26	Ruch Chorzów - Odra Opole	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 1
03.03.25	Ruch Chorzów - Termalica Nieciecza	2:2
18.08.24	Termalica Nieciecza - Ruch Chorzów	1:1
31.03.23	Termalica Nieciecza - Ruch Chorzów	2:1
27.08.22	Ruch Chorzów - Termalica Nieciecza	2:1
Polish Ekstraklasa
04.03.17	Termalica Nieciecza - Ruch Chorzów	0:0
16.09.16	Ruch Chorzów - Termalica Nieciecza	0:1
19.12.15	Termalica Nieciecza - Ruch Chorzów	0:1

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