Match Info

III Liga - Group III - Round 13

Date: 17 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Ślęza Wrocław		Carina Gubin

	1	X	2
	1.90	3.60	3.10
	1.90	3.50	3.20
	1.85	3.60	3.42
	1.88	3.8	3.36	Watch
	1.82	3.55	3.35
	1.86	3.72	3.30	Watch
	2.19	3.45	2.61
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↓ (2.21)	3.6 ↑ (3.41)	3.19 ↑ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ślęza Wrocław
46.9%

Draw
24.9%

Carina Gubin
28.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

40%

25.9%

34%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.9%

24.7%

32.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ślęza Wrocław has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ślęza Wrocław's performance.

Carina Gubin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Carina Gubin might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ślęza Wrocław than the current prediction. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carina Gubin than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Ślęza Wrocław - Carina Gubin Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
20', 0 - 1, Haraszkiewicz P. ⚽,
42', (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
48', 1 - 1, ⚽,
55', 1 - 2, Haraszkiewicz P. ⚽,
84', 1 - 3, Jakuc O. ⚽,

Preview

A high-tension relegation six-pointer between two sides desperate to escape the danger zone (ranked 16th in the Relegation and 18th in the Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ślęza won 1.

Recent results have been tough for Ślęza (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Carina Gubin has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 1 win).

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 10 head-to-head meetings, Ślęza has recorded 5 wins, 5 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 22:8 (averaging 2.2:0.8 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Ślęza against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses, with 11:3 goals (averaging 2.2:0.6 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Sleza Wroclaw	14	4	1	9	21:32	-11	13
17	Carina Gubin	14	3	3	8	12:26	-14	12

Last Results with these Odds

Carina Gubin - the odds 2.6 are the expected chance of winning is 34.03%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ślęza Wrocław
Polish Division 3 - Group III
10.10.26	ROW Rybnik - Ślęza Wrocław	2:1 ✺
03.10.26	Ślęza Wrocław - Karkonosze Jelenia Góra	2:0 ✺
26.09.26	Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski - Ślęza Wrocław	1:1 ✺
19.09.26	Ślęza Wrocław - Miedź Legnica 2	3:5 ✺
12.09.26	Kluczbork - Ślęza Wrocław	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LWTLL
- Carina Gubin
Polish Division 3 - Group III
10.10.26	Carina Gubin - LKS Goczałkowice-Zdrój	0:0 ✺
03.10.26	Stal Brzeg - Carina Gubin	0:1 ✺
26.09.26	Carina Gubin - Stilon Gorzów Wielkopolski	1:3 ✺
18.09.26	Zagłębie 2 Lubin - Carina Gubin	3:0 ✺
11.09.26	Carina Gubin - Odra Bytom Odrzański	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 TWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group III
10.04.26	Carina Gubin - Ślęza Wrocław	2:2
20.09.25	Ślęza Wrocław - Carina Gubin	2:2
28.02.25	Ślęza Wrocław - Carina Gubin	0:0
10.08.24	Carina Gubin - Ślęza Wrocław	1:2
26.04.24	Ślęza Wrocław - Carina Gubin	1:1
30.09.23	Carina Gubin - Ślęza Wrocław	1:4
13.05.23	Ślęza Wrocław - Carina Gubin	2:0

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