Match Info

POLAND: III LIGA - GROUP I - ROUND 15

Date: 4 November 2023, Saturday


	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki		Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.5	2.75
	2.1	3.44	2.69
	2.1	3.44	2.69
	2.15	3.6	2.79	Watch
	2.2	3.45	2.73
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↓ (2.3)	3.49 ↓ (3.5)	2.73 ↑ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 10.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki
41.8%

Draw
25.6%

Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki
32.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.6%

26%

34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.6%

25.4%

33.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki than the current prediction. (+1%)

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Świt won 2.

At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Świt won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 12-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Świt won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki
Polish Division 3 - Group I
28.10.23	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Unia Skierniewice	1:1 ✺
21.10.23	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Pilica Białobrzegi	5:2 ✺
15.10.23	Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	3:3 ✺
07.10.23	Mławianka Mława - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	2:3 ✺
04.10.23	Legia II - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 TWTWW
- Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki
Polish Division 3 - Group I
28.10.23	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Mławianka Mława	2:1 ✺
21.10.23	Concordia Elbląg - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	0:4 ✺
14.10.23	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Broń Radom	2:1 ✺
08.10.23	Pelikan Łowicz - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	2:1 ✺
30.09.23	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Legia II	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group I
11.06.23	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	2:1
12.11.22	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	0:1
16.06.21	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	2:1
08.05.21	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	1:2
20.03.21	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	1:0
07.03.20	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	3:2
10.08.19	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	5:3

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