Match Info

POLAND: III LIGA - GROUP I - ROUND 13

Date: 21 October 2023, Saturday


	Concordia Elbląg		Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki

	1	X	2
	5.25	4.33	1.44
	5.05	4.29	1.47
	5.05	4.29	1.47
	5.4	4.4	1.45	Watch
	4.8	4.4	1.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.11 ↑ (3.65)	4.34 ↑ (3.7)	1.46 ↓ (1.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 10.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Concordia Elbląg
17.6%

Draw
20.7%

Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki
61.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.9%

24.6%

50.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.4%

24.1%

51.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Concordia Elbląg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Concordia Elbląg's form might have worsened.

Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Concordia Elbląg than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Concordia Elbląg, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki than the current prediction. (-10.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Concordia is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Concordia won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Concordia won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Concordia Elbląg
Polish Division 3 - Group I
14.10.23	Unia Skierniewice - Concordia Elbląg	4:1 ✺
07.10.23	Concordia Elbląg - Pilica Białobrzegi	2:0 ✺
30.09.23	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Concordia Elbląg	6:0 ✺
Polish Cup
26.09.23	Concordia Elbląg - Widzew Łódź	0:4 ✺
Polish Division 3 - Group I
23.09.23	Concordia Elbląg - Mławianka Mława	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LWLLT
- Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki
Polish Division 3 - Group I
14.10.23	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Broń Radom	2:1 ✺
08.10.23	Pelikan Łowicz - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	2:1 ✺
30.09.23	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Legia II	1:1 ✺
23.09.23	Olimpia Zambrów - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	3:3 ✺
20.09.23	Jagiellonia II Białystok - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WLTTT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group I
01.04.23	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Concordia Elbląg	0:1
28.08.22	Concordia Elbląg - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	1:2
27.03.21	Concordia Elbląg - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	1:1
17.08.19	Concordia Elbląg - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	2:0

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