Match Info

2. Lig White Group - Round 33

Date: 29 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Şanlıurfa 11 Nisan Stadyumu (Şanliurfa)


	Şanlıurfaspor		Karacabey Belediyespor

	1	X	2
	1.44	3.9	5.55
	1.46	4.22	6.16
	1.46	4.19	6.04	Watch
	1.44	3.8	6
	1.43	4.1	6.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (1.74)	4.04 ↑ (3.4)	6.01 ↑ (3.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Şanlıurfaspor
62.6%

Draw
22.4%

Karacabey Belediyespor
15.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.7%

26%

23.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49%

25.1%

24.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Şanlıurfaspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Şanlıurfaspor's performance.

Karacabey Belediyespor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Karacabey Belediyespor might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Şanlıurfaspor than the current prediction. (-13.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Şanlıurfaspor that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karacabey Belediyespor than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Karacabey Belediyespor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Şanlıurfaspor - Karacabey Belediyespor Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
3', 1 - 0, Unsal B. ⚽, Demirel A. (A),
13', 1 - 1, Yilmaz E. ⚽, Gumus Y. (A),
36', 2 - 1, Unsal B. ⚽,
45+2', 2 - 2, Colak O. ⚽, Ozdiraz M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Şanlıurfaspor is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Karacabey Bld has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Karacabey Bld may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Şanlıurfaspor is seen as the favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Şanlıurfaspor won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:7. (average 2:1.8).

Including home match between the teams, Şanlıurfaspor won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Sanliurfaspor	5	1	3	1	7:7	0	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Şanlıurfaspor
Turkish Second League White Group
25.03.26	Batman Petrolspor - Şanlıurfaspor	2:1 ✺
16.03.26	Şanlıurfaspor - Altınordu	0:0 ✺
12.03.26	Beyoglu Yeni Carsi - Şanlıurfaspor	2:1 ✺
07.03.26	Şanlıurfaspor - Ankaragücü	2:2 ✺
01.03.26	Elazığspor - Şanlıurfaspor	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LTLTL
- Karacabey Belediyespor
Turkish Second League White Group
25.03.26	Karacabey Belediyespor - Karaman Belediyespor	1:0 ✺
11.03.26	Batman Petrolspor - Karacabey Belediyespor	4:1 ✺
07.03.26	Karacabey Belediyespor - Altınordu	2:1 ✺
28.02.26	Beyoglu Yeni Carsi - Karacabey Belediyespor	0:0 ✺
22.02.26	Karacabey Belediyespor - Ankaragücü	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Second League White Group
30.11.25	Karacabey Belediyespor - Şanlıurfaspor	1:2
09.03.22	Karacabey Belediyespor - Şanlıurfaspor	3:1
Turkish Cup
27.10.21	Karacabey Belediyespor - Şanlıurfaspor	1:2
Turkish Second League White Group
19.09.21	Şanlıurfaspor - Karacabey Belediyespor	3:2

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