Match Info

I Liqa - Round 21

Date: 9 April 2026, Thursday


	Şəfa		Səbail

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.78	3.3	4.05	Watch
	1.73	3.19	4.53
	2.50	3.24	2.60	Watch
	1.73	3.25	4.2
	1.77	3.59	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↑ (1.82)	3.31 ↓ (3.4)	3.92 ↓ (4.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Şəfa
48.6%

Draw
27.9%

Səbail
23.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.4%

27%

22.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.8%

25.8%

21.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Şəfa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Səbail has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Şəfa than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Səbail than the current prediction. (-2%)

Şəfa - Səbail Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
48', 1 - 0, Zamanov E. ⚽,
57', 2 - 0, Aliyev N. ⚽,
61', 2 - 1, Quliyev K. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.

In this match, Şəfa is considered a favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Şəfa won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Including home match between the teams, Şəfa won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Sabail	3	2	1	0	4:2	2	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Şəfa FK
Azerbaijan First Division
03.04.26	Mingachevir - Şəfa	5:2 ✺
18.03.26	Şəfa - Shahdag Qusar	1:0 ✺
11.03.26	Shimal - Şəfa	0:2 ✺
05.03.26	Şəfa - Shahdag Qusar	2:1 ✺
25.02.26	Difai Ağsu - Şəfa	1:8 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LWWWW
- Səbail FK
Azerbaijan First Division
02.04.26	Səbail - Baku Sporting	1:0 ✺
18.03.26	Səbail - MOIK Baku	2:2 ✺
12.03.26	Mingachevir - Səbail	0:1 ✺
06.03.26	Cəbrayıl - Səbail	1:4 ✺
24.02.26	Səbail - Baku Sporting	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Azerbaijan First Division
12.02.26	Səbail - Şəfa	0:0
23.10.25	Şəfa - Səbail	2:2

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