Match Info
Challenge League - Relegation Group - Round 3Date: 8 March 2026, SundayLocation: Centenary Stadium (Ta' Qali)
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Żebbuġ Rangers |
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Mġarr United |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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3.7 |
3.6 |
1.75 |
 Watch |
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3.83 |
3.83 |
1.71 |
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3.23 |
3.7 |
1.95 |
Watch |
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3.8 |
3.6 |
1.7 |
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3.87 |
3.78 |
1.73 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.69 ↑
(3.28) |
3.7 ↓
(3.75) |
1.77 ↓
(1.92) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
- The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Żebbuġ Rangers
24.5% | Draw
24.4% | Mġarr United
51.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Żebbuġ Rangers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)Mġarr United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Żebbuġ Rangers than the current prediction. (+2.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mġarr United than the current prediction. (-2.2%)Żebbuġ Rangers - Mġarr United Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 38', Ndoye A. ↓, Igiebor W. ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 58', Sant D. 🟨,
- 59', Fenech M. ↓, Borg A. ↑,
- 59', Agius S. ↓, Frendo K. ↑,
- 63', Willy J. ↓, Tegwi T. ↑,
- 63', Sultana N. ↓, Chetcuti I. ↑,
- 65', 0 - 1, Cristhyan Noto ⚽,
- 70', Borg A. 🟨,
- 76', Mizzi A. ↓, Sammut L. ↑,
- 76', Falzon D. ↓, Gatt L. ↑,
- 78', Farrugia I. ↓, Bajada J. ↑,
- 79', Zammit C. ↓, Schembri S. ↑,
- 84', Gatt L. 🟨,
- 90+6', 0 - 2, ⚽,
Preview
Żebbuġ is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).Mġarr United has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).Żebbuġ may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. Mġarr United is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Żebbuġ won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:2. (average 1.3:0.5).Including home matches between the teams, Żebbuġ won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.3:0.7).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 10 | Mgarr | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 3 |
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| 16 | Zebbug | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:7 | -6 | 0 |
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Maltese Challenge League | | | 01.11.25 | Żebbuġ Rangers - Mġarr United | 0:1 | | 21.09.24 | Żebbuġ Rangers - Mġarr United | 1:1 | | 13.03.22 | Mġarr United - Żebbuġ Rangers | 0:4 | | 04.12.21 | Żebbuġ Rangers - Mġarr United | 0:0 |
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