Match Info

Challenge League - Round 13

Date: 31 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Victor Tedesco Stadium (Hamrun)


	Marsa		Żebbuġ Rangers

	1	X	2
	1.52	3.9	4.95
	1.49	4.1	5.2
	1.5	4.22	5.28	Watch
	1.44	3.7	5.5
	1.45	4.1	5.97
	1.47	4	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↑ (1.38)	4 ↓ (4.65)	5.32 ↓ (6.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marsa
60.7%

Draw
22.4%

Żebbuġ Rangers
16.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.3%

19.7%

14.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.2%

18.9%

13.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marsa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Marsa's form might have worsened.

Żebbuġ Rangers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marsa than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Marsa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Żebbuġ Rangers than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Marsa - Żebbuġ Rangers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
81', 0 - 1, Opajobi O. ⚽,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 14 in the zone Challenge League (Relegation Group: ) and 15 in the zone Challenge League (Relegation Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Marsa won 3.

In recent games, both teams have suffered a series of defeats.

In this match, Marsa is considered a favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Marsa won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:13. (average 1.9:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Marsa won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:7. (average 2.2:1.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
16	Zebbug	2	0	0	2	1:7	-6	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marsa FC
Maltese Challenge League
18.01.26	Marsa - Santa Lucia	2:2 ✺
11.01.26	Melita - Marsa	3:2 ✺
Maltese FA Trophy
04.01.26	Marsa - Naxxar Lions	0:3 ✺
Maltese Challenge League
21.12.25	Marsa - St. Andrews	1:2 ✺
14.12.25	Birżebbuġa St. Peters - Marsa	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 TLLLL
- Żebbuġ Rangers
Maltese Challenge League
17.01.26	Żebbuġ Rangers - Melita	1:4 ✺
11.01.26	Santa Lucia - Żebbuġ Rangers	0:0 ✺
20.12.25	Żebbuġ Rangers - Vittoriosa Stars	0:4 ✺
17.12.25	Żebbuġ Rangers - Żurrieq	1:4 ✺
14.12.25	Balzan - Żebbuġ Rangers	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Maltese Challenge League
19.01.25	Marsa - Żebbuġ Rangers	4:2
25.11.23	Marsa - Żebbuġ Rangers	2:0
09.04.22	Marsa - Żebbuġ Rangers	1:3
17.12.21	Żebbuġ Rangers - Marsa	3:1
06.12.20	Marsa - Żebbuġ Rangers	1:0
29.03.19	Żebbuġ Rangers - Marsa	3:1
08.04.18	Marsa - Żebbuġ Rangers	3:2

Marsa - Żebbuġ Rangers: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide