Match Info

Challenge League - Round 11

Date: 11 January 2026, Sunday


	Żurrieq		Mtarfa

	1	X	2
	1.12	6.7	13.5	Watch
	1.1	8.76	15.21	Watch
	1.1	8.5	15
	1.08	8.3	15.5
	1.06	7.5	17
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.09 ↓ (1.14)	7.95 ↑ (7.27)	15.24 ↑ (13.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Żurrieq
82.7%

Draw
11.4%

Mtarfa
5.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

80.4%

12.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Żurrieq has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Mtarfa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Żurrieq - Mtarfa Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
3', 1 - 0, ⚽,
10', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
84', 🟥,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 12 in the zone Challenge League (Relegation Group: ) and 16 in the zone Challenge League (Relegation Group: )).

Żurrieq has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Mtarfa has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Mtarfa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Żurrieq is the obvious favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Żurrieq won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 1:0).

Including home matches between the teams, Żurrieq won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 1:0).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Zurrieq	2	0	0	2	1:3	-2	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Żurrieq FC
Maltese Challenge League
20.12.25	Żurrieq - Fgura United	1:4 ✺
17.12.25	Żebbuġ Rangers - Żurrieq	1:4 ✺
13.12.25	Gudja United - Żurrieq	1:0 ✺
09.12.25	Żurrieq - Santa Lucia	4:0 ✺
22.11.25	Żurrieq - Balzan	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LWLWL
- Mtarfa FC
Maltese FA Trophy
04.01.26	Pietà Hotspurs - Mtarfa	5:0 ✺
Maltese Challenge League
20.12.25	Mtarfa - Gudja United	0:3 ✺
14.12.25	Fgura United - Mtarfa	8:0 ✺
11.12.25	Mtarfa - Żebbuġ Rangers	4:1 ✺
30.11.25	Balzan - Mtarfa	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Maltese Challenge League
24.11.24	Żurrieq - Mtarfa	1:0
22.10.22	Żurrieq - Mtarfa	1:0

Żurrieq - Mtarfa: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide