Match Info

Challenge League - Round 10

Date: 20 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Victor Tedesco Stadium (Hamrun)


	Mtarfa		Gudja United

	1	X	2
	11.5	6.5	1.15	Watch
	10.5	6.43	1.2
	8.48	7.48	1.19	Watch
	11	6	1.18
	12	6.35	1.15
	10	5.75	1.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	10.58 ↑ (7.56)	6.42 ↑ (5.56)	1.17 ↓ (1.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mtarfa
8.6%

Draw
14.1%

Gudja United
77.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

12.1%

16.4%

71.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mtarfa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Gudja United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gudja United's recent form is better than expected.

Mtarfa - Gudja United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
15', 0 - 1, Shola H. S. (Penalty Awarded),
39', 0 - 2, Muscat B. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
61', 0 - 3, Quintero D. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Challenge League (Relegation Group: ) and 10 in the zone Challenge League (Relegation Group: )).

Mtarfa is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Gudja United has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Gudja United is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Mtarfa won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 2:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mtarfa FC
Maltese Challenge League
14.12.25	Fgura United - Mtarfa	8:0 ✺
11.12.25	Mtarfa - Żebbuġ Rangers	4:1 ✺
30.11.25	Balzan - Mtarfa	4:0 ✺
22.11.25	Mtarfa - Vittoriosa Stars	1:2 ✺
02.11.25	Birżebbuġa St. Peters - Mtarfa	8:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 LWLLL
- Gudja United
Maltese Challenge League
13.12.25	Gudja United - Żurrieq	1:0 ✺
09.12.25	Gudja United - Vittoriosa Stars	1:0 ✺
29.11.25	Birżebbuġa St. Peters - Gudja United	2:1 ✺
23.11.25	Gudja United - St. Andrews	0:1 ✺
01.11.25	Melita - Gudja United	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Maltese Challenge League
06.04.25	Gudja United - Mtarfa	1:3
09.02.25	Gudja United - Mtarfa	3:1

Mtarfa - Gudja United: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide