Match Info

MALTA: Challenge Cup - 1/8-finals

Date: 27 February 2025, Thursday 🏁 Finished


	Żurrieq		Swieqi United

	1	X	2
	2.77	3.3	2.47
	2.87	3.44	2.23	Watch
	2.8	3.32	2.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.81 ↓ (3.94)	3.35 ↓ (3.43)	2.32 ↑ (1.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Żurrieq
32.8%

Draw
27.5%

Swieqi United
39.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

22.7%

26%

51.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.8%

24.9%

53.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Żurrieq has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Żurrieq's performance.

Swieqi United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Swieqi United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Żurrieq than the current prediction. (-11%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Żurrieq that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Swieqi United than the current prediction. (+13.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Swieqi United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Żurrieq - Swieqi United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
22', 0 - 1, Siaw S. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
47', 1 - 1, Darmanin S. ⚽,
60', 1 - 2, Morales J. (Pen),
77', 2 - 2, Linus T. ⚽,
89', 3 - 2, Atkins E. ⚽,

Preview

Two teams are playing changeable.

Recently Swieqi United have a series of guest games.

In this match Swieqi United is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Żurrieq won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:4 (average 1.3:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Żurrieq won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:2 (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Żurrieq FC
Maltese Challenge League
23.02.25	Żurrieq - Valletta	1:5 ✺
15.02.25	Santa Lucia - Żurrieq	3:6 ✺
09.02.25	Żurrieq - Mġarr United	1:1 ✺
Maltese FA Trophy
06.02.25	Żurrieq - Naxxar Lions	0:4 ✺
Maltese Challenge League
02.02.25	Senglea Athletic - Żurrieq	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LWTLW
- Swieqi United
Maltese Challenge League
22.02.25	Marsa - Swieqi United	2:3 ✺
15.02.25	Valletta - Swieqi United	2:0 ✺
08.02.25	St. Andrews - Swieqi United	3:4 ✺
02.02.25	Swieqi United - Żebbuġ Rangers	3:2 ✺
25.01.25	Valletta - Swieqi United	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Maltese Challenge League
14.09.24	Żurrieq - Swieqi United	1:2
21.10.23	Żurrieq - Swieqi United	1:0
28.08.22	Swieqi United - Żurrieq	2:2

Żurrieq - Swieqi United