Match Info

MALTA: Challenge League - Promotion Group - Round 2

Date: 22 February 2025, Saturday

Location: Centenary Stadium (Ta' Qali)


	Marsa		Swieqi United

	1	X	2
	2.08	3.4	3.05	Watch
	2.06	3.24	3.22
	2.08	3.42	3.17
	2.1	3.35	3.08
	2.08	3.4	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↑ (2.02)	3.36 ↓ (3.5)	3.11 ↓ (3.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marsa
43.7%

Draw
27.1%

Swieqi United
29.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.1%

26%

28.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2%

25.5%

29.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marsa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Swieqi United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marsa than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Swieqi United than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Marsa - Swieqi United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Caruana R. (G) 7. Agius D. (C) 10. Aquilina G. 18. Azzopardi J. 98. Bugeja S. 9. Claudir 17. Engerer J. 20. Muscat L. 99. Sgaria R. 23. Tom Tom 4. Zerafa D.	12. Debattista J. C. (C) 5. Abela D. 96. Agius D. 19. Brafo B. 8. Fenech P. 9. Katanic A. 7. Mattocks L. 3. Morales J. 10. Schembri Wismayer A. 6. Spiteri M. 18. Vella J.
Substitutes
30. Abela I. 8. Aboumehdi J. 22. Bugeja G. 6. Bugeja M. 81. Cipriott S. 26. Gatt K. 21. Grima D. (G) 13. Mifsud L. (G) 1. Sylla A. (G)	15. Calleja D. 26. Ellul Ruggier K. (G) 23. Gabriel V. 97. Hudson M. 77. Magri S. 21. Micallef M. 4. Muscat K. 14. Pisani N. 80. Vella T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
10', 1 - 0, Sgaria R. ⚽,
21', 2 - 0, Engerer J. ⚽,
28', Engerer J. 🟨,
29', 2 - 1, Katanic A. (Pen),
38', Mattocks L. 🟨,
39', Brafo B. 🟨,
45+2', 2 - 2, Abela D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
54', Spiteri M. 🟨,
62', Claudir 🟨,
64', Vella J. ↓, Micallef M. ↑,
65', Engerer J. ↓, Gatt K. ↑,
68', 2 - 3, Spiteri M. ⚽,
83', Mattocks L. ↓, Gabriel V. ↑,
83', Brafo B. ↓, Vella T. ↑,
87', Abela D. 🟨,
88', Zerafa D. 🟨,
88', Katanic A. 🟨,
90+1', 🟨,
90+2', Gatt K. 🟥,
90+4', Agius D. 🟥,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Marsa won 1.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Recently Swieqi United have a series of guest games.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Marsa won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9:13 (average 1:1.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Marsa won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7:8 (average 1.4:1.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marsa FC
Maltese Challenge League
15.02.25	Mġarr United - Marsa	1:1 ✺
09.02.25	Marsa - Valletta	0:1 ✺
Maltese FA Trophy
05.02.25	Marsa - Sliema Wanderers	0:4 ✺
Maltese Challenge League
01.02.25	Gudja United - Marsa	1:2 ✺
26.01.25	Marsa - St. Andrews	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 TLLWT
- Swieqi United
Maltese Challenge League
15.02.25	Valletta - Swieqi United	2:0 ✺
08.02.25	St. Andrews - Swieqi United	3:4 ✺
02.02.25	Swieqi United - Żebbuġ Rangers	3:2 ✺
25.01.25	Valletta - Swieqi United	2:1 ✺
18.01.25	Gudja United - Swieqi United	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Maltese Challenge League
15.12.24	Marsa - Swieqi United	1:1
01.10.23	Swieqi United - Marsa	0:0
25.02.23	Swieqi United - Marsa	3:0
07.11.22	Marsa - Swieqi United	2:0
01.04.22	Swieqi United - Marsa	2:1
12.12.21	Marsa - Swieqi United	2:2
21.02.21	Marsa - Swieqi United	2:0

Marsa - Swieqi United: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide