Match Info

A Lyga - Round 22

Date: 20 August 2025, Wednesday

Location: LFF stadionas (Vilnius)


	Žalgiris		Dainava Alytus

	1	X	2
	1.25	5.25	9
	1.27	4.95	8.3	Watch
	1.28	5.67	9.18
	1.37	4.72	7.37	Watch
	1.29	4.8	9.5
	1.29	5.08	10.2	Watch
	1.17	6.7	12
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.27 ↓ (1.31)	5.31 ↑ (4.7)	9.36 ↑ (8.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Žalgiris
72.7%

Draw
17.4%

Dainava Alytus
9.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.5%

19.3%

11.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.8%

18.4%

10.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Žalgiris has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Dainava Alytus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Žalgiris than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dainava Alytus than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Žalgiris - Dainava Alytus Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Žalgiris will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Olses C. (G) 45. Moutachy J. 4. Abiam N. 77. Kendysh Y. 41. Setkus M. 17. Matulevicius G. 15. Ofori E. 22. Verbickas O. (C) 71. Mihajlovic N. 23. Chol M. 80. Antal L.	77. Mickevicius A. (G) 29. Zabita G. (C) 2. Daniel Alemao 24. Paliusis N. 26. Reginaldo 75. Stockunas E. 8. Achol M. 23. Koshkosh I. 17. Zevzikovas D. 11. Lubas J. 37. Okoniewski K.
Substitutes
29. Bicka K. 7. Hadji K. 9. Jarusevicius G. 42. Lukasevic K. 44. Matyzonok P. 25. Pavilonis V. 8. Salcinovic D. 28. Simonavicius U. 96. Tordai A. (G) 19. Youla M.	5. Chikovani N. 13. Faye C. 1. Krynskyi V. (G) 28. Lauva K. (G) 3. Maksymenko M. 22. Nakashidze N. 33. Zahladko V.
Coaches
Cheburin V.	Orazov M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
13', Zevzikovas D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
51', Abiam N. 🟨,
54', 1 - 0, Chol M. ⚽,
66', Antal L. ↓, Lukasevic K. ↑,
71', Lubas J. ↓, Faye C. ↑,
75', Matulevicius G. ↓, Bicka K. ↑,
75', Setkus M. ↓, Youla M. ↑,
82', Verbickas O. ↓, Hadji K. ↑,
82', Chol M. ↓, Jarusevicius G. ↑,
85', Zabita G. ↓, Chikovani N. ↑,
85', Reginaldo ↓, Nakashidze N. ↑,
90', 1 - 1, Zevzikovas D. ⚽,
90+3', Zevzikovas D. ↓, Maksymenko M. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Žalgiris won 4.

Žalgiris is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Dainava's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Dainava may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Žalgiris has had a series of home games.

In this match, Žalgiris is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Žalgiris won 17 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 57:9. (average 2.9:0.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Žalgiris won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 28:7. (average 2.8:0.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Žalgiris - the odds 1.31 are the expected chance of winning is 69.48%, but this team recently wins 78% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Žalgiris Vilnius
Lithuanian TOPLYGA
17.08.25	Žalgiris - Riteriai	2:1 ✺
11.08.25	FA Šiauliai - Žalgiris	2:2 ✺
07.08.25	Žalgiris - Sūduva Marijampolė	1:0 ✺
04.08.25	Žalgiris - Kauno Žalgiris	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
31.07.25	Linfield - Žalgiris	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WTWLL
- Dainava Alytus
Lithuanian TOPLYGA
10.08.25	Hegelmann Litauen - Dainava Alytus	0:1 ✺
03.08.25	Dainava Alytus - Sūduva Marijampolė	2:2 ✺
28.07.25	FA Šiauliai - Dainava Alytus	3:1 ✺
21.07.25	Kauno Žalgiris - Dainava Alytus	3:0 ✺
14.07.25	Dainava Alytus - Panevėžys	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.8 WTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Lithuanian TOPLYGA
25.05.25	Žalgiris - Dainava Alytus	1:1
Lithuanian Cup
06.05.25	Dainava Alytus - Žalgiris	0:6
Lithuanian TOPLYGA
30.03.25	Dainava Alytus - Žalgiris	0:1
20.10.24	Dainava Alytus - Žalgiris	0:5
27.09.24	Žalgiris - Dainava Alytus	3:1
24.04.24	Žalgiris - Dainava Alytus	4:0
03.03.24	Dainava Alytus - Žalgiris	0:1

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