Match Info

A Lyga - Round 24

Date: 10 August 2025, Sunday

Location: LFF Kauno treniruočių centras (Kaunas)

Referee: Abramavicius O. (Ltu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Lithuania	LRT Plius, LRT TV


	Hegelmann Litauen		Dainava Alytus

	1	X	2
	1.36	4.4	6.75
	1.3	4.75	7.5	Watch
	1.31	5	8.49
	1.36	4.75	7.59	Watch
	1.36	4.4	7.5
	1.27	5	8.95	Watch
	1.33	4.25	8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 (1.33)	4.65 ↑ (4.25)	7.83 ↓ (8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hegelmann Litauen
68.7%

Draw
19.6%

Dainava Alytus
11.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.6%

21.2%

11.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.3%

20.1%

10.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hegelmann Litauen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Dainava Alytus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hegelmann Litauen than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dainava Alytus than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Hegelmann Litauen - Dainava Alytus Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sarkauskas V. (G) 9. Upstas K. (C) 4. Djoric N. 6. Armalas V. 97. Radinovic S. 17. Harouna A. 77. Freire W. 28. Kojic L. 45. Shchedryi A. 14. Yusuf R. 10. Popescu P.	77. Mickevicius A. (C) 75. Stockunas E. 24. Paliusis N. 2. Daniel Alemao 5. Chikovani N. 23. Koshkosh I. 8. Achol M. 14. Obi Chinonso J. 17. Zevzikovas D. 26. Reginaldo 11. Lubas J.
Substitutes
5. Antanavicius D. 27. Azouazi Y. 22. Brazinskas A. (G) 7. Duke C. 30. Isaac B. 21. Kausinis E. 25. Keliauskas K. 15. Leo Ribeiro 11. Njoya A. 19. Pasilys D. 98. Pastukas J.	6. Banevicius R. 13. Faye C. 1. Krynskyi V. (G) 28. Lauva K. (G) 3. Maksymenko M. 22. Nakashidze N. 27. Siaudvytis L. 33. Zahladko V.
Coaches
Skerla A.	Orazov M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Obi Chinonso J. ↓, Faye C. ↑,
61', Shchedryi A. ↓, Duke C. ↑,
61', Yusuf R. ↓, Njoya A. ↑,
61', Freire W. ↓, Leo Ribeiro ↑,
67', Djoric N. 🟨,
67', Harouna A. 🟨,
72', Popescu P. ↓, Azouazi Y. ↑,
77', Reginaldo ↓, Maksymenko M. ↑,
87', Achol M. ↓, Banevicius R. ↑,
90+2', Lubas J. ↓, Nakashidze N. ↑,
90+4', 0 - 1, Okoniewski K. ⚽, Banevicius R. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hegelmann won 3.

Hegelmann has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Dainava has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Hegelmann may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Hegelmann is the clear favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Hegelmann won 10 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 29:22. (average 1.5:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Hegelmann won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:10. (average 1.3:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hegelmann Litauen
Lithuanian Cup
07.08.25	Hegelmann Litauen - FA Šiauliai	3:1 ✺
Lithuanian TOPLYGA
04.08.25	Džiugas Telšiai - Hegelmann Litauen	0:1 ✺
28.07.25	Hegelmann Litauen - Riteriai	3:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
17.07.25	Hegelmann Litauen - St Patricks Athletic	0:2 ✺
10.07.25	St Patricks Athletic - Hegelmann Litauen	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WWWLL
- Dainava Alytus
Lithuanian TOPLYGA
03.08.25	Dainava Alytus - Sūduva Marijampolė	2:2 ✺
28.07.25	FA Šiauliai - Dainava Alytus	3:1 ✺
21.07.25	Kauno Žalgiris - Dainava Alytus	3:0 ✺
14.07.25	Dainava Alytus - Panevėžys	0:3 ✺
06.07.25	Dainava Alytus - Džiugas Telšiai	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Lithuanian TOPLYGA
14.06.25	Dainava Alytus - Hegelmann Litauen	2:2
12.04.25	Hegelmann Litauen - Dainava Alytus	3:2
25.10.24	Hegelmann Litauen - Dainava Alytus	1:2
03.08.24	Dainava Alytus - Hegelmann Litauen	0:1
31.05.24	Dainava Alytus - Hegelmann Litauen	0:2
Lithuanian Cup
06.05.24	Dainava Alytus - Hegelmann Litauen	0:2
Lithuanian TOPLYGA
09.04.24	Hegelmann Litauen - Dainava Alytus	0:1

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