Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Lexington, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 5 August 2026, Wednesday


	Abedallah Shelbayh		Federico Cina

	1	2
			Watch
	2.45	1.48	Watch
	2.4	1.51	Watch
	2.55	1.56
	2.57	1.46	Watch
	2.5	1.51
	2.39	1.51	Watch
	2.4	1.51
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.47 ↑ (1.85)	1.51 ↓ (1.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Abedallah Shelbayh
37.9%

Federico Cina
62.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.2%

54.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Abedallah Shelbayh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Abedallah Shelbayh's form might have worsened.

Federico Cina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Federico Cina's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Abedallah Shelbayh than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Abedallah Shelbayh, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Federico Cina than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Federico Cina, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Abedallah Shelbayh - Federico Cina Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Shelbayh will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Cina will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Shelbayh is ranked ATP: 267. Cina is ranked ATP: 178.

Shelbayh is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Cina has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Cina may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Cina will hold a modest advantage in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Federico Cina - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Abedallah Shelbayh
ATP Challenger
04.08.26	Alex Bolt - Abedallah Shelbayh	0:2 ✺
03.08.26	Abedallah Shelbayh - Mees Rottgering	2:0 ✺
02.08.26	Abedallah Shelbayh - Joshua Sheehy	2:1 ✺
ATP Washington
26.07.26	Martin Damm - Abedallah Shelbayh	2:1 ✺
25.07.26	Abedallah Shelbayh - Billy Harris	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WWWLW
- Federico Cina
ATP Challenger
03.08.26	Federico Cina - Elias Ymer	2:0 ✺
ATP Kitzbuhel
20.07.26	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Federico Cina	2:1 ✺
19.07.26	Federico Cina - Lorenzo Giustino	2:0 ✺
18.07.26	Federico Cina - Daniel Michalski	2:1 ✺
ATP Gstaad
14.07.26	Federico Cina - Quentin Halys	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WLWWL

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