Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Lexington, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 4 August 2026, Tuesday


	Alex Bolt		Abedallah Shelbayh

	1	2
			Watch
	2.05	1.70	Watch
	2.14	1.67
	2.14	1.74
	2.03	1.72	Watch
	2.11	1.71
	2.03	1.68	Watch
	2.05	1.70
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↑ (1.67)	1.7 ↓ (2.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alex Bolt
45%

Abedallah Shelbayh
55%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.1%

44.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.3%

40.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alex Bolt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alex Bolt's form might have worsened.

Abedallah Shelbayh has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Abedallah Shelbayh's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alex Bolt than the current prediction. (+14.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alex Bolt, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Abedallah Shelbayh than the current prediction. (-14.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Abedallah Shelbayh, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Alex Bolt - Abedallah Shelbayh Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Bolt will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Bolt is ranked ATP: 158. Shelbayh is ranked ATP: 267.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Bolt may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Alex Bolt - the odds 1.67 are the expected chance of winning is 55.12%, but this team recently wins 82% of matches with these odds.

Abedallah Shelbayh - the odds 2.05 are the expected chance of winning is 44.88%, but this team recently wins 70% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alex Bolt
ATP Washington
26.07.26	Aleksandar Vukic - Alex Bolt	2:0 ✺
25.07.26	James McCabe - Alex Bolt	0:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
22.06.26	Oliver Tarvet - Alex Bolt	2:0 ✺
ATP Halle
14.06.26	Mattia Bellucci - Alex Bolt	2:1 ✺
13.06.26	Jamie Mackenzie - Alex Bolt	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LWLLW
- Abedallah Shelbayh
ATP Challenger
03.08.26	Abedallah Shelbayh - Mees Rottgering	2:0 ✺
02.08.26	Abedallah Shelbayh - Joshua Sheehy	2:1 ✺
ATP Washington
26.07.26	Martin Damm - Abedallah Shelbayh	2:1 ✺
25.07.26	Abedallah Shelbayh - Billy Harris	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
20.07.26	Michael Zheng - Abedallah Shelbayh	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WWLWL

Alex Bolt - Abedallah Shelbayh: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide