Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Las Vegas, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 25 September 2025, Thursday


	Abedallah Shelbayh		Nicolas Mejia

	1	2
	1.73	2	Watch
			Watch
	1.75	1.9	Watch
	1.8	2.04
	1.75	1.94	Watch
			Watch
	1.72	2.03	Watch
	1.83	1.89
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↓ (1.85)	1.97 ↑ (1.84)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Abedallah Shelbayh
52.7%

Nicolas Mejia
47.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.8%

50.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.2%

50.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Abedallah Shelbayh has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Nicolas Mejia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Abedallah Shelbayh than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nicolas Mejia than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Abedallah Shelbayh - Nicolas Mejia Predictions

Users Predictions: Abedallah Shelbayh will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Shelbayh is ranked ATP: 437. Mejia is ranked ATP: 199.

Shelbayh has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Mejia's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Shelbayh may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Abedallah Shelbayh - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 49.82%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Nicolas Mejia - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50.18%, but this team recently wins 27% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Abedallah Shelbayh
ATP Challenger
23.09.25	Abedallah Shelbayh - Alfredo Perez	2:0 ✺
18.09.25	Tyler Zink - Abedallah Shelbayh	2:0 ✺
16.09.25	Abedallah Shelbayh - Murphy Cassone	2:0 ✺
09.09.25	Darwin Blanch - Abedallah Shelbayh	2:0 ✺
05.09.25	Abedallah Shelbayh - Alex Molcan	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WLWLL
- Nicolas Mejia
ATP Challenger
23.09.25	Tyler Zink - Nicolas Mejia	1:2 ✺
17.09.25	Nicolas Mejia - Rafael Jodar	0:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group I
13.09.25	Lukas Klein - Nicolas Mejia	Canceled ✺
12.09.25	Alex Molcan - Nicolas Mejia	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
07.09.25	Nicolas Mejia - Alex Molcan	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WL?LL

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