Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Las Vegas, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 23 September 2025, Tuesday


	Tyler Zink		Nicolas Mejia

	1	2
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2.05	1.65	Watch
	2.06	1.79
	2.11	1.68	Watch
	2.06	1.7	Watch
	2.2	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↓ (2.2)	1.68 ↑ (1.62)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tyler Zink
44.5%

Nicolas Mejia
55.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.4%

57.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.7%

55.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tyler Zink has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Nicolas Mejia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tyler Zink than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nicolas Mejia than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Tyler Zink - Nicolas Mejia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Zink is ranked ATP: 360. Mejia is ranked ATP: 201.

In recent matches, Zink has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Mejia is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Mejia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Mejia is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Zink won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:4. (average 0:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tyler Zink
ATP Challenger
19.09.25	Samir Banerjee - Tyler Zink	2:0 ✺
18.09.25	Tyler Zink - Abedallah Shelbayh	2:0 ✺
16.09.25	Tyler Zink - Alexander Bernard	2:0 ✺
08.09.25	Tyler Zink - Mitchell Krueger	0:2 ✺
ATP US Open
19.08.25	Tyler Zink - Rei Sakamoto	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LWWLL
- Nicolas Mejia
ATP Challenger
17.09.25	Nicolas Mejia - Rafael Jodar	0:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group I
13.09.25	Lukas Klein - Nicolas Mejia	Canceled ✺
12.09.25	Alex Molcan - Nicolas Mejia	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
07.09.25	Nicolas Mejia - Alex Molcan	0:2 ✺
06.09.25	Nicolas Mejia - Luca Potenza	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 L?LLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
03.06.25	Tyler Zink - Nicolas Mejia	0:2
ITF Tournaments
26.09.19	Tyler Zink - Nicolas Mejia	0:2

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