Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Los Cabos, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 15 July 2025, Tuesday


	Adam Walton		Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez

	1	2
	1.53	2.5	Watch
	1.5	2.54	Watch
	1.52	2.49	Watch
	1.54	2.63
			Watch
	1.53	2.5	Watch
	1.55	2.47	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↑ (1.4)	2.52 ↓ (3)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Adam Walton
62.3%

Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
37.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.2%

31.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.3%

29.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Adam Walton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Adam Walton's form might have worsened.

Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Adam Walton than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Adam Walton, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
38.5%	0%	61.5%

Adam Walton - Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Walton will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%). Pacheco Mendez will win (votes: 8 - 61.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Pacheco Mendez: 35% – 88%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Walton is ranked ATP: 90. Pacheco Mendez is ranked ATP: 220.

Walton is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Pacheco Mendez has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Pacheco Mendez may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Walton might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Walton won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Adam Walton - the odds 1.4 are the expected chance of winning is 68.18%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Adam Walton
ATP Wimbledon
01.07.25	Arthur Cazaux - Adam Walton	3:2 ✺
ATP Mallorca
21.06.25	Adam Walton - Brandon Holt	1:2 ✺
ATP London
17.06.25	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Adam Walton	2:0 ✺
15.06.25	Adam Walton - Aleksandar Vukic	0:2 ✺
14.06.25	Hamad Medjedovic - Adam Walton	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLLLW
- Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
ATP Challenger
24.06.25	Oriol Roca Batalla - Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez	2:1 ✺
20.06.25	Dusan Lajovic - Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez	2:0 ✺
19.06.25	Daniel Rincon - Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez	0:2 ✺
18.06.25	Giulio Zeppieri - Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez	1:2 ✺
17.06.25	Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez - Vilius Gaubas	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
18.04.23	Adam Walton - Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez	1:2

Adam Walton - Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide