Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: BENGALURU (INDIA), HARD - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 16 February 2024, Friday


	Adam Walton		Sumit Nagal

	1	2
	2.63	1.44	Watch
	2.45	1.48	Watch
	2.6	1.45	Watch
	2.68	1.52
	2.5	1.5	Watch
	2.65	1.44	Watch
	2.65	1.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.59 ↑ (2.06)	1.47 ↓ (1.68)

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Adam Walton
36.2%

Sumit Nagal
63.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.9%

55.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.7%

57.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Adam Walton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Adam Walton's form might have worsened.

Sumit Nagal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sumit Nagal's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Adam Walton than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Adam Walton, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sumit Nagal than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sumit Nagal, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Adam Walton - Sumit Nagal Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Walton will win (votes: 5 - 33.3%). Nagal will win (votes: 10 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nagal: 42.8% – 90.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Both players in the last matches got series of victories.

Nagal will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Nagal to win the game is with odds 1.53.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Adam Walton
ATP Challenger
15.02.24	Adam Walton - Gauthier Onclin	2:0 ✺
14.02.24	Adam Walton - S D Prajwal Dev	2:0 ✺
10.02.24	Adam Walton - Dane Sweeny	2:0 ✺
09.02.24	Adam Walton - Tristan Schoolkate	2:0 ✺
08.02.24	Adam Walton - Philip Sekulic	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WWWWW
- Sumit Nagal
ATP Challenger
15.02.24	Chak Lam Coleman Wong - Sumit Nagal	0:2 ✺
13.02.24	Geoffrey Blancaneaux - Sumit Nagal	0:2 ✺
11.02.24	Luca Nardi - Sumit Nagal	0:2 ✺
10.02.24	Dalibor Svrcina - Sumit Nagal	0:2 ✺
09.02.24	Dominik Palan - Sumit Nagal	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WWWWW

Adam Walton - Sumit Nagal: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide