Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: CHENNAI (INDIA), HARD - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 10 February 2024, Saturday


	Dalibor Svrcina		Sumit Nagal

	1	2
	3	1.36	Watch
	2.75	1.4	Watch
	2.9	1.38	Watch
	3.06	1.41
	3	1.36	Watch
	2.92	1.37	Watch
	3	1.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.95 ↑ (2.22)	1.38 ↓ (1.6)

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dalibor Svrcina
31.9%

Sumit Nagal
68.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.9%

58.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9%

57.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dalibor Svrcina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Dalibor Svrcina's form might have worsened.

Sumit Nagal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sumit Nagal's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dalibor Svrcina than the current prediction. (+11%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dalibor Svrcina, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sumit Nagal than the current prediction. (-11%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sumit Nagal, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
5.9%	0%	94.1%

Dalibor Svrcina - Sumit Nagal Predictions

Users Predictions: Sumit Nagal will win (16 of 17 users predict this - 94.12%).
Confidence interval (95%): 82.94% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Right away both players are in a satisfying form.

Svrcina could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Nagal will have a mini benefit in this match.

Our prediction for today's Nagal to win the game is with odds 1.54.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Svrcina won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dalibor Svrcina
ATP Challenger
09.02.24	Mukund Sasikumar - Dalibor Svrcina	1:2 ✺
08.02.24	Evgeny Donskoy - Dalibor Svrcina	1:2 ✺
06.02.24	Bogdan Bobrov - Dalibor Svrcina	1:2 ✺
ATP Montpellier
31.01.24	Alexander Shevchenko - Dalibor Svrcina	2:1 ✺
29.01.24	Giulio Zeppieri - Dalibor Svrcina	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WWWLW
- Sumit Nagal
ATP Challenger
09.02.24	Dominik Palan - Sumit Nagal	0:2 ✺
07.02.24	Giovanni Fonio - Sumit Nagal	0:2 ✺
06.02.24	S D Prajwal Dev - Sumit Nagal	0:2 ✺
ATP Australian Open
18.01.24	Sumit Nagal - Juncheng Shang	1:3 ✺
15.01.24	Alexander Bublik - Sumit Nagal	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
23.07.23	Dalibor Svrcina - Sumit Nagal	0:2

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