Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Porto - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 28 July 2025, Monday


	Adria Soriano Barrera		Marc Polmans

	1	2
			Watch
	1.6	2.15
	1.52	2.38	Watch
	1.56	2.37
	1.56	2.31	Watch
	1.62	2.2	Watch
	1.56	2.33	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↑ (1.36)	2.29 ↓ (2.9)

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Adria Soriano Barrera
59.3%

Marc Polmans
40.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.1%

31.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.6%

30.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Adria Soriano Barrera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Adria Soriano Barrera's form might have worsened.

Marc Polmans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Marc Polmans's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Adria Soriano Barrera than the current prediction. (+10.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Adria Soriano Barrera, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marc Polmans than the current prediction. (-10.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Marc Polmans, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Adria Soriano Barrera - Marc Polmans Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Polmans (votes: 1 - 100%).

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Preview

Soriano Barrera is ranked ATP: 308. Polmans is ranked ATP: 434.

Soriano Barrera is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Polmans's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Soriano Barrera may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Soriano Barrera might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Soriano Barrera won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Adria Soriano Barrera
ATP Challenger
27.07.25	Adria Soriano Barrera - Hayato Matsuoka	2:1 ✺
25.07.25	Edas Butvilas - Adria Soriano Barrera	2:0 ✺
24.07.25	Raul Brancaccio - Adria Soriano Barrera	1:2 ✺
22.07.25	Adria Soriano Barrera - Arthur Bouquier	2:1 ✺
21.07.25	Adria Soriano Barrera - Olaf Pieczkowski	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WLWWW
- Marc Polmans
ATP Challenger
27.07.25	Tomas Pinho - Marc Polmans	0:2 ✺
27.07.25	Joao Domingues - Marc Polmans	Canceled ✺
ITF Tournaments
24.07.25	Marc Polmans - Laurent Lokoli	0:2 ✺
23.07.25	Marc Polmans - Axel Nefve	2:0 ✺
19.07.25	Charles Broom - Marc Polmans	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 W?LWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
15.08.23	Marc Polmans - Adria Soriano Barrera	2:0

Adria Soriano Barrera - Marc Polmans: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide