Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Oeiras 3 (Portugal) - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 14 April 2024, Sunday

Referee: Duarte Pereira J. (Por)


	Adrian Andreev		Daniel Merida Aguilar

	1	2
			Watch
	1.53	2.3	Watch
	1.48	2.45	Watch
	1.51	2.5
	1.52	2.5
	1.53	2.38	Watch
	1.47	2.59	Watch
	1.64	2.13
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↑ (1.46)	2.41 ↓ (2.47)

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Adrian Andreev
61.2%

Daniel Merida Aguilar
38.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.8%

37.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.5%

31.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Adrian Andreev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Daniel Merida Aguilar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Adrian Andreev than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Adrian Andreev, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniel Merida Aguilar than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Daniel Merida Aguilar, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Adrian Andreev - Daniel Merida Aguilar Predictions

Users Predictions: Adrian Andreev will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

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Preview

Andreev is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Merida Aguilar is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Merida Aguilar could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Andreev will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Andreev won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Adrian Andreev
ATP Challenger
24.03.24	Jozef Kovalik - Adrian Andreev	2:0 ✺
23.03.24	Adrian Andreev - Timofey Skatov	2:0 ✺
22.03.24	Enrico Dalla Valle - Adrian Andreev	1:2 ✺
21.03.24	Adrian Andreev - Matej Dodig	2:1 ✺
19.03.24	Manuel Guinard - Adrian Andreev	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 LWWWW
- Daniel Merida Aguilar
ATP Challenger
08.04.24	Carlos Taberner - Daniel Merida Aguilar	2:0 ✺
07.04.24	Rafael Jodar - Daniel Merida Aguilar	0:2 ✺
01.04.24	Adria Soriano Barrera - Daniel Merida Aguilar	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
30.03.24	Daniel Merida Aguilar - Marko Topo	1:2 ✺
29.03.24	Michiel De Krom - Daniel Merida Aguilar	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
20.03.23	Adrian Andreev - Daniel Merida Aguilar	2:1

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