Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Sabadell, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 3 May 2025, Saturday


	Michiel De Krom		Daniel Merida Aguilar

	1	2
			Watch
	3.5	1.24
	3.35	1.3
	3.52	1.28	Watch
	3.75	1.25
	3.54	1.26	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.53 ↑ (3.23)	1.27 ↓ (1.34)

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Michiel De Krom
26.4%

Daniel Merida Aguilar
73.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.3%

70.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.7%

71.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Michiel De Krom has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Daniel Merida Aguilar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Michiel De Krom than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniel Merida Aguilar than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Michiel De Krom - Daniel Merida Aguilar Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

De Krom is ranked ATP: 467. Merida Aguilar is ranked ATP: 329.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, Merida Aguilar is seen as the favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, De Krom won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 0.7:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Michiel De Krom
ITF Tournaments
02.05.25	Michiel De Krom - Alejo Sanchez Quilez	2:0 ✺
01.05.25	Michiel De Krom - Pablo Martinez Gomez	2:0 ✺
30.04.25	Clement Chidekh - Michiel De Krom	1:2 ✺
16.04.25	Alex Molcan - Michiel De Krom	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
30.03.25	Michiel De Krom - Max Alcala Gurri	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WWWLL
- Daniel Merida Aguilar
ITF Tournaments
02.05.25	Daniel Merida Aguilar - Miguel Damas	2:0 ✺
01.05.25	Daniel Merida Aguilar - Darwin Blanch	2:1 ✺
30.04.25	Daniel Merida Aguilar - Matas Vasiliauskas	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
07.04.25	Marco Trungelliti - Daniel Merida Aguilar	2:0 ✺
03.04.25	Daniel Merida Aguilar - Carlos Taberner	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
09.05.24	Daniel Merida Aguilar - Michiel De Krom	2:1
29.03.24	Michiel De Krom - Daniel Merida Aguilar	1:2
21.02.24	Michiel De Krom - Daniel Merida Aguilar	0:2

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