Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: SZCZECIN (POLAND), CLAY - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 13 September 2023, Wednesday


	Adrian Andreev		Hugo Gaston

	1	2
	3.5	1.29	Watch
	3.4	1.3
	3.54	1.31
	3.5	1.29	Watch
	3.42	1.28	Watch
	3.3	1.29
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.44 ↑ (2.65)	1.29 ↓ (1.41)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Adrian Andreev
27.3%

Hugo Gaston
72.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.7%

65.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.2%

68.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Adrian Andreev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Adrian Andreev's form might have worsened.

Hugo Gaston has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hugo Gaston's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Adrian Andreev than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hugo Gaston than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	0%	87.5%

Adrian Andreev - Hugo Gaston Predictions

Users Predictions: Hugo Gaston will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Andreev is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Gaston is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Andreev could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Gaston is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Adrian Andreev
ATP Challenger
11.09.23	Adrian Andreev - Daniel Michalski	2:1 ✺
04.09.23	Adrian Andreev - Calvin Hemery	1:2 ✺
ATP US Open
25.08.23	Borna Gojo - Adrian Andreev	2:0 ✺
22.08.23	Adrian Andreev - Nerman Fatic	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
15.08.23	Adrian Andreev - Aleksandar Kovacevic	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WLLWL
- Hugo Gaston
ATP Challenger
12.09.23	Zdenek Kolar - Hugo Gaston	0:2 ✺
08.09.23	Roberto Carballes Baena - Hugo Gaston	2:1 ✺
07.09.23	Alessandro Giannessi - Hugo Gaston	1:2 ✺
06.09.23	Carlos Taberner - Hugo Gaston	0:2 ✺
05.09.23	Fernando Verdasco - Hugo Gaston	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WLWWW

Adrian Andreev - Hugo Gaston: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide