Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Cincinnati, hard - 1/64-finals

Date: 7 August 2025, Thursday


	Roberto Carballes Baena		Hugo Gaston

	1	2
	1.73	2.1	Watch
	1.85	1.91
	1.74	2.1	Watch
	1.84	2.06
	1.74	2.07	Watch
	1.8	2	Watch
			Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↓ (1.91)	2.04 ↑ (1.91)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Roberto Carballes Baena
53.4%

Hugo Gaston
46.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.9%

47.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Roberto Carballes Baena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Hugo Gaston has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roberto Carballes Baena than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hugo Gaston than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Roberto Carballes Baena - Hugo Gaston Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Carballes Baena will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Gaston will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Carballes Baena (votes: 2 - 50%). Gaston (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Carballes Baena is ranked ATP: 89. Gaston is ranked ATP: 126.

Carballes Baena has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Gaston is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Carballes Baena won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 1:2).

Last Results with these Odds

Roberto Carballes Baena - the odds 1.91 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Hugo Gaston - the odds 1.91 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Roberto Carballes Baena
ATP Toronto
30.07.25	Roberto Carballes Baena - Taylor Harry Fritz	0:2 ✺
28.07.25	Roberto Carballes Baena - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	Ugo Carabelli C. retired ✺
ATP Umag
21.07.25	Roberto Carballes Baena - Nikoloz Basilashvili	0:2 ✺
ATP Gstaad
17.07.25	Francisco Comesana - Roberto Carballes Baena	2:0 ✺
15.07.25	Roberto Carballes Baena - Carlos Taberner	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 L?LLW
- Hugo Gaston
ATP Toronto
30.07.25	Andrey Rublev - Hugo Gaston	2:0 ✺
28.07.25	Mattia Bellucci - Hugo Gaston	Bellucci M. retired ✺
ATP Kitzbuhel
21.07.25	Hugo Gaston - Norbert Gombos	0:2 ✺
ATP Bastad
17.07.25	Hugo Gaston - Damir Dzumhur	1:2 ✺
15.07.25	Hugo Gaston - Chun Hsin Tseng	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 L?LLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Kitzbuhel
24.07.24	Hugo Gaston - Roberto Carballes Baena	2:0
ATP Australian Open
14.01.24	Roberto Carballes Baena - Hugo Gaston	1:3
ATP Challenger
08.09.23	Roberto Carballes Baena - Hugo Gaston	2:1

Roberto Carballes Baena - Hugo Gaston: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide