Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Quimper (France), hard (indoor) - 1/16-finals

Date: 22 January 2025, Wednesday


	Adrian Mannarino		Mackenzie McDonald

	1	2
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.25	1.57
	2.25	1.55
	2.4	1.59
	2.28	1.58	Watch
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.31	1.57	Watch
	2.35	1.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↓ (2.47)	1.57 ↑ (1.5)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Adrian Mannarino
40.6%

Mackenzie McDonald
59.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.7%

62.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.1%

63.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Adrian Mannarino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Mackenzie McDonald has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Adrian Mannarino than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mackenzie McDonald than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90%	0%	10%

Adrian Mannarino - Mackenzie McDonald Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Mannarino will win (votes: 9 - 90%). McDonald will win (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mannarino: 71.4% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Mannarino is ranked ATP: 75. McDonald is ranked ATP: 130.

Mannarino is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches McDonald is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Mannarino could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

McDonald will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Mannarino won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:0 (average 1:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Adrian Mannarino
ATP Australian Open
13.01.25	Adrian Mannarino - Karen Khachanov	0:3 ✺
ATP Auckland
06.01.25	Mariano Navone - Adrian Mannarino	2:1 ✺
04.01.25	Adrian Mannarino - Sumit Nagal	0:2 ✺
03.01.25	Adrian Mannarino - Dominic Stephan Stricker	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
31.12.24	Adrian Mannarino - Yusuke Takahashi	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LLLWL
- Mackenzie McDonald
ATP Challenger
18.01.25	Mackenzie McDonald - Zsombor Piros	0:2 ✺
17.01.25	Frederico Ferreira Silva - Mackenzie McDonald	0:2 ✺
16.01.25	Jeffrey John Wolf - Mackenzie McDonald	1:2 ✺
15.01.25	Dino Prizmic - Mackenzie McDonald	0:2 ✺
ATP Australian Open
08.01.25	Gauthier Onclin - Mackenzie McDonald	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Cincinnati
17.08.23	Mackenzie McDonald - Adrian Mannarino	McDonald M. retired
ATP Astana
30.10.20	Adrian Mannarino - Mackenzie McDonald	2:0

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