Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Acapulco (Mexico) - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 22 February 2025, Saturday


	Adrian Mannarino		Adam Walton

	1	2
			Watch
	2.65	1.42	Watch
	2.84	1.44
	2.77	1.42	Watch
	2.62	1.44	Watch
	2.73	1.42	Watch
	2.65	1.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.71 ↑ (2)	1.43 ↓ (1.72)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Adrian Mannarino
34.5%

Adam Walton
65.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.2%

53.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.7%

53.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Adrian Mannarino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Adrian Mannarino's form might have worsened.

Adam Walton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Adam Walton's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Adrian Mannarino than the current prediction. (+12.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Adrian Mannarino, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Adam Walton than the current prediction. (-12.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Adam Walton, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Adrian Mannarino - Adam Walton Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Mannarino will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Walton will win (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mannarino: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Mannarino is ranked ATP: 128. Walton is ranked ATP: 90.

Mannarino has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Walton is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Walton could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Walton will have a poor advantage in this game.

Our prediction for today's Walton to win the game is with odds 1.63.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Adrian Mannarino
ATP Dallas
03.02.25	Rinky Hijikata - Adrian Mannarino	2:0 ✺
ATP Montpellier
28.01.25	Adrian Mannarino - Richard Gasquet	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
22.01.25	Adrian Mannarino - Mackenzie McDonald	1:2 ✺
ATP Australian Open
13.01.25	Adrian Mannarino - Karen Khachanov	0:3 ✺
ATP Auckland
06.01.25	Mariano Navone - Adrian Mannarino	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Adam Walton
ATP Delray Beach
12.02.25	Learner Tien - Adam Walton	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
08.02.25	Adam Walton - Jason Kubler	2:0 ✺
08.02.25	Adam Walton - Omar Jasika	2:0 ✺
07.02.25	Adam Walton - Andre Ilagan	2:0 ✺
05.02.25	Adam Walton - Hiroki Moriya	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LWWWW

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