Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Jingshan, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 25 September 2025, Thursday


	Gauthier Onclin		Mackenzie McDonald

	1	2
	2.75	1.4	Watch
			Watch
	2.7	1.4	Watch
	2.92	1.42
	3.04	1.32	Watch
			Watch
	2.85	1.39	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.85 ↓ (2.97)	1.39 ↑ (1.36)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gauthier Onclin
32.7%

Mackenzie McDonald
67.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.4%

68.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.6%

70.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gauthier Onclin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Mackenzie McDonald has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gauthier Onclin than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mackenzie McDonald than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Gauthier Onclin - Mackenzie McDonald Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Onclin will win (votes: 15 - 83.3%). McDonald will win (votes: 3 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Onclin: 66.1% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Gauthier Onclin will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Onclin is ranked ATP: 192. McDonald is ranked ATP: 96.

In recent matches, Onclin has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

McDonald is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

McDonald may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, McDonald is a strong favorite.

We predict that McDonald will win today's game, with odds of 1.34.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Onclin won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gauthier Onclin
ATP Challenger
23.09.25	Yu Hsiou Hsu - Gauthier Onclin	0:2 ✺
ATP Hangzhou
17.09.25	Nishesh Basavareddy - Gauthier Onclin	2:0 ✺
16.09.25	Gauthier Onclin - Tristan Boyer	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
12.09.25	Billy Harris - Gauthier Onclin	2:0 ✺
11.09.25	Gauthier Onclin - James McCabe	McCabe J. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WLWL?
- Mackenzie McDonald
ATP Challenger
24.09.25	Rigele Te - Mackenzie McDonald	0:2 ✺
ATP Chengdu
20.09.25	Mackenzie McDonald - Nikoloz Basilashvili	0:2 ✺
18.09.25	Mackenzie McDonald - Botic Van De Zandschulp	2:1 ✺
17.09.25	Mackenzie McDonald - Nicolai Budkov Kjaer	2:1 ✺
16.09.25	Mackenzie McDonald - James McCabe	McCabe J. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WLWW?

Latest Head to Head

ATP Australian Open
08.01.25	Gauthier Onclin - Mackenzie McDonald	2:1

Gauthier Onclin - Mackenzie McDonald: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide