Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Houston - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 29 March 2025, Saturday


	Adrian Mannarino		Naoki Nakagawa

	1	2
			Watch
	1.36	2.95	Watch
	1.35	2.95	Watch
	1.35	3.08	Watch
	1.36	3	Watch
	1.35	3.04	Watch
	1.35	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↑ (1.31)	3 ↓ (3.38)

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Adrian Mannarino
68.9%

Naoki Nakagawa
31.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

72.1%

27.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.5%

29.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Adrian Mannarino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Naoki Nakagawa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Adrian Mannarino than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Naoki Nakagawa than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Adrian Mannarino - Naoki Nakagawa Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Nakagawa will win (votes: 10 - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nakagawa: 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Mannarino is ranked ATP: 145. Nakagawa is ranked ATP: 362.

Mannarino is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Nakagawa is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Mannarino could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Mannarino is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Adrian Mannarino
ATP Challenger
27.03.25	Adrian Mannarino - Dmitry Popko	0:2 ✺
25.03.25	Adrian Mannarino - Stefano Napolitano	2:0 ✺
ATP Miami
17.03.25	Ethan Quinn - Adrian Mannarino	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
10.03.25	Adrian Mannarino - Li Tu	0:2 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
03.03.25	Li Tu - Adrian Mannarino	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 LWLLL
- Naoki Nakagawa
ITF Tournaments
26.03.25	Taiyo Yamanaka - Naoki Nakagawa	2:0 ✺
18.02.25	Naoki Nakagawa - Hyeon Chung	Canceled ✺
14.02.25	Christian Langmo - Naoki Nakagawa	2:1 ✺
14.02.25	Ajeet Rai - Naoki Nakagawa	0:2 ✺
12.02.25	Kody Pearson - Naoki Nakagawa	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 L?LWW

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