Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: US OPEN (USA), HARD - 1/64-FINALS

Date: 28 August 2023, Monday

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York)


	Adrian Mannarino		Yosuke Watanuki

	1	2
	1.5	2.63	Watch
	1.53	2.5
	1.5	2.55
	1.59	2.53
	1.5	2.6	Watch
	1.44	2.77	Watch
	1.5	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↓ (1.65)	2.6 ↑ (2.24)

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Adrian Mannarino
63.3%

Yosuke Watanuki
36.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.6%

42.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.9%

43.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Adrian Mannarino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Adrian Mannarino's performance.

Yosuke Watanuki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Yosuke Watanuki might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Adrian Mannarino than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Adrian Mannarino that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yosuke Watanuki than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Yosuke Watanuki could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72.7%	0%	27.3%

Adrian Mannarino - Yosuke Watanuki Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Mannarino will win (votes: 16 - 72.7%). Watanuki will win (votes: 6 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mannarino: 54.1% – 91.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Preview

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Mannarino could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Mannarino will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Adrian Mannarino
ATP Cincinnati
18.08.23	Adrian Mannarino - Alexander Zverev	0:2 ✺
17.08.23	Mackenzie McDonald - Adrian Mannarino	McDonald M. retired ✺
15.08.23	Adrian Mannarino - Felix Aliassime-Auger	2:0 ✺
13.08.23	Richard Gasquet - Adrian Mannarino	0:2 ✺
ATP Toronto
07.08.23	Adrian Mannarino - Taro Daniel	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 L?WWL
- Yosuke Watanuki
ATP Challenger
18.08.23	Constant Lestienne - Yosuke Watanuki	Lestienne C. walkover ✺
17.08.23	James Duckworth - Yosuke Watanuki	0:2 ✺
16.08.23	Nicolas Moreno De Alboran - Yosuke Watanuki	0:2 ✺
14.08.23	Steve Johnson - Yosuke Watanuki	1:2 ✺
ATP Toronto
05.08.23	Ilya Ivashka - Yosuke Watanuki	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 ?WWW?

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