Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Chicago (USA), hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 24 July 2024, Wednesday

Referee: Flentie N. (Usa)


	Aidan Mayo		Learner Tien

	1	2
	3.5	1.29	Watch
	3.5	1.26
	3.5	1.26	Watch
	3.92	1.26
	4.29	1.22	Watch
	3.75	1.25	Watch
	3.76	1.25	Watch
	3.5	1.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.72 ↑ (2.19)	1.26 ↓ (1.6)

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aidan Mayo
25.3%

Learner Tien
74.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.2%

57.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.4%

57.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aidan Mayo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Aidan Mayo's form might have worsened.

Learner Tien has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Learner Tien's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aidan Mayo than the current prediction. (+17.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Aidan Mayo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Learner Tien than the current prediction. (-17.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Learner Tien, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.2%	0%	81.8%

Aidan Mayo - Learner Tien Predictions

Users Predictions: Learner Tien will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Mayo is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Tien is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Tien could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Tien will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Tien to win the game is with odds 1.53.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aidan Mayo
ATP Challenger
23.07.24	Juan Pablo Ficovich - Aidan Mayo	1:2 ✺
22.07.24	Nicolas Mejia - Aidan Mayo	0:2 ✺
21.07.24	Stefan Kozlov - Aidan Mayo	Canceled ✺
ATP Newport
15.07.24	Billy Harris - Aidan Mayo	2:1 ✺
14.07.24	Aidan Mayo - Illya Marchenko	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WW?LW
- Learner Tien
ATP Challenger
22.07.24	Learner Tien - Benjamin Bonzi	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
14.07.24	Learner Tien - Govind Nanda	2:0 ✺
13.07.24	Learner Tien - Keegan Smith	2:1 ✺
12.07.24	Learner Tien - Rudy Quan	2:0 ✺
11.07.24	Learner Tien - Alexander Petrov	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WWWWW

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