Match Info

Date: 27 September 2022, Tuesday


	Aidan McHugh		August Holmgren

	1	2
	1.61	2.2	Watch
	1.62	2.15
	1.64	2.2
	1.61	2.13
	1.69	2.2
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.62	2.19	Watch
	1.67	1.96
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↑ (1.56)	2.16 ↓ (2.37)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aidan McHugh
57%

August Holmgren
43%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.4%

39.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.1%

40.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aidan McHugh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

August Holmgren has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aidan McHugh than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for August Holmgren than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Aidan McHugh - August Holmgren Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. McHugh will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). Holmgren will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Holmgren: 40% – 93.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

McHugh is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Holmgren is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

McHugh could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

McHugh will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Holmgren to win the game is with odds 2.31.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aidan McHugh
ATP Challenger
22.09.22	Gabriel Diallo - Aidan McHugh	2:1 ✺
21.09.22	Aidan McHugh - Dominik Koepfer	2:1 ✺
12.09.22	Aidan McHugh - Tennys Sandgren	0:2 ✺
24.08.22	Hiroki Moriya - Aidan McHugh	2:1 ✺
22.08.22	Stefan Kozlov - Aidan McHugh	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LWLL?
- August Holmgren
ATP Challenger
26.09.22	Murphy Cassone - August Holmgren	0:2 ✺
25.09.22	August Holmgren - Naoki Nakagawa	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
03.09.22	Hernan Casanova - August Holmgren	2:1 ✺
02.09.22	August Holmgren - Luigi Sorrentino	2:1 ✺
01.09.22	Valentin Royer - August Holmgren	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WWLWW

Aidan McHugh - August Holmgren: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide