Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: French Open - Qualification, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 19 May 2025, Monday

Location: Stade Roland-Garros (Paris)


	Murphy Cassone		August Holmgren

	1	2
	2.25	1.57
	2.05	1.72
	2.2	1.6
	2.34	1.62
	2.25	1.63	Watch
	2.25	1.57
	2.24	1.63	Watch
	2.2	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↓ (2.63)	1.62 ↑ (1.44)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Murphy Cassone
42.1%

August Holmgren
57.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.4%

64.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.7%

60.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Murphy Cassone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Murphy Cassone's performance.

August Holmgren has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and August Holmgren might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Murphy Cassone than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for August Holmgren than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55.6%	0%	44.4%

Murphy Cassone - August Holmgren Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Cassone will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Holmgren will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cassone: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): August Holmgren will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Cassone is ranked ATP: 208. Holmgren is ranked ATP: 188.

Cassone has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Holmgren is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Cassone may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Holmgren might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Cassone won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Murphy Cassone
ATP Challenger
04.05.25	Murphy Cassone - Mili Poljicak	Canceled ✺
29.04.25	Murphy Cassone - Jan Kumstat	0:2 ✺
18.04.25	Murphy Cassone - Emilio Nava	0:2 ✺
17.04.25	Murphy Cassone - Joel Schwaerzler	2:0 ✺
15.04.25	Eliot Spizzirri - Murphy Cassone	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 ?LLWW
- August Holmgren
ATP Challenger
05.05.25	August Holmgren - Lukas Klein	0:2 ✺
28.04.25	August Holmgren - Lukas Klein	1:2 ✺
14.04.25	August Holmgren - Guy Den Ouden	0:2 ✺
13.04.25	August Holmgren - Alexander Donski	2:0 ✺
09.04.25	August Holmgren - Valentin Royer	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
26.09.22	Murphy Cassone - August Holmgren	0:2

Murphy Cassone - August Holmgren: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide