Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Roanne (France), hard (indoor) - 1/16-finals

Date: 9 October 2024, Wednesday


	Valentin Royer		August Holmgren

	1	2
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.42	2.65
	1.39	2.75	Watch
	1.42	2.92
	1.4	2.83	Watch
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.35	3.04	Watch
	1.39	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.67)	2.81 ↑ (2.08)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valentin Royer
66.8%

August Holmgren
33.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.5%

44.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.2%

42.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valentin Royer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Valentin Royer's performance.

August Holmgren has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and August Holmgren might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valentin Royer than the current prediction. (-9.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Valentin Royer that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for August Holmgren than the current prediction. (+9.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that August Holmgren could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Valentin Royer - August Holmgren Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Royer will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Holmgren will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Royer: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Royer is ranked ATP: 182. Holmgren is ranked ATP: 167.

Royer is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Holmgren is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Holmgren could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Royer is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Royer won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Valentin Royer
ATP Challenger
02.10.24	Jerome Kym - Valentin Royer	2:0 ✺
30.09.24	Valentin Royer - Nerman Fatic	2:0 ✺
22.09.24	Luka Pavlovic - Valentin Royer	0:2 ✺
21.09.24	Valentin Royer - Hynek Barton	2:0 ✺
20.09.24	Genaro Alberto Olivieri - Valentin Royer	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LWWWW
- August Holmgren
ATP Challenger
01.10.24	August Holmgren - Manuel Guinard	0:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group I
15.09.24	Alexander Bublik - August Holmgren	Canceled ✺
14.09.24	Alexander Shevchenko - August Holmgren	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
03.09.24	Benjamin Lock - August Holmgren	2:0 ✺
28.08.24	August Holmgren - Charles Broom	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.3 L?WLL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
01.09.22	Valentin Royer - August Holmgren	0:2

Valentin Royer - August Holmgren: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide