Match Info
ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Austin, TX, hard - 1/16-finalsDate: 13 October 2026, Tuesday
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Aidan McHugh |
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Karl Poling |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
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 Watch |
 |
1.48 |
|
2.40 |
|
 |
1.62 |
|
2.15 |
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 |
1.59 |
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2.16 |
Watch |
 |
1.60 |
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2.15 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.57 ↓
(1.59) |
|
2.22 ↑
(2.16) |
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- The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Aidan McHugh
58.5% | Karl Poling
41.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Aidan McHugh has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)Karl Poling has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aidan McHugh than the current prediction. (-5.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Aidan McHugh that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karl Poling than the current prediction. (+5.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Karl Poling could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats. 
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Preview
McHugh is ranked ATP: 476., and Poling is ranked ATP: 459..McHugh has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 4 wins).Poling is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win). A closely fought contest is anticipated, with McHugh holding a narrow advantage.In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, McHugh has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 0:2.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| ITF Tournaments | | | 06.07.24 | Karl Poling - Aidan McHugh | 2:0 |
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